Movie Gallery Inc. (NDAQ:MOVI) stock was cut in half recently as they revealed their quarterly financials in their
August 10th 8k filing with the SEC. The company said that same-store total revenues for the second quarter of 2006 decreased 4.6% from last year, reflecting a "continued softness in the video rental industry." The company reported a net loss of $14.9m (0.47/share) in the second quarter. This is due to, among other things, a 4.6% drop in same store revenues. The companies balance sheet doesn't look any better - the acquisition of Hollywood Video left the company with a massive debt totaling over $1.1 billion.
While management refused to give guidance, they made it clear that they were working to turn around the company. Meanwhile, the rental movie market may rebound with the recent blockbuster titles leaving the theaters. The Chairman noted:
"Our business continues to be affected by a weak home video release schedule and other industry-wide challenges, but we are making great progress on a number of internal initiatives intended to improve Movie Gallery's financial and operational performance. We continue to expect a slow late summer, as is typical due to the seasonality of our industry, with gradually improving business conditions beginning in October when the first of several $100 million titles will be released to home video. In the meantime, Movie Gallery is aggressively pursuing opportunities to increase revenues and further improve operating efficiencies. We have engaged Merrill Lynch to advise us on ways to improve our capital structure as well as Alvarez & Marsal, a leading turnaround management, restructuring and corporate advisory firm. This great company, together with its dedicated associates and partners, is taking the steps necessary to reposition Movie Gallery for renewed success."
So, is the company worth buying? Probably not at these levels. The company is still riddled with debt, and according to their 8k filing, their "internal initiatives" designed to improve their performance won't be fully realized until late 2007 or 2008. Meanwhile, the company is struggling to deal with its debt-load and declining revenues which may be headed towards a violation of bank covenants in January. Finally, there is no guarantee that the market will improve with competitors like Netflix and Blockbuster who are gaining market share with their online rental programs. Despite these things, the stock is worth
keeping an eye on, because a turnaround at these levels could mean big money in the future.
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