Thursday, August 31, 2006
Bally Total Fitness (NYSE:BFT) recently announced, in an ammended 13D filing with the SEC, that they had signed a confidentiality agreement with activist hedge funds Liberation Investments and (earlier) Pardus Capital. According to the most recent filing:
"On August 28, 2006, a representative of LIGLLC executed a confidentiality agreement (a copy of which is attached hereto as Exhibit 99.34, the “Confidentiality Agreement”) with the Company pursuant to which the Company agreed to make available to LIGLLC and certain of its representatives on a confidential basis certain information (the “Evaluation Material”) of the Company, including, without limitation, information relating to the Company’s business, products, markets, condition (financial or other), operations, assets, liabilities, results of operations, cash flows and prospects."
So, why do they want this information?
"Following their review of the Evaluation Material, the Reporting Persons may determine to attempt to arrange or participate with third parties in an extraordinary corporate transaction with respect to the Company, such as an acquisition, a sale of all or substantially all of the Company’s assets, a reorganization, a recapitalization, or a significant debt or equity investment."
These hedge funds have a long history with Bally: Last year, the two hedge funds launched a proxy battle to gain control of the board - a battle eventually led to ousting of then-CEO Paul Toback and the appointment of two Pardus-supported board members. The company then made an unsuccessful attempt to put itself up for sale. Meanwhile, Bally's shares plummeted to under $3/share from a high of $9/share just a month earlier. This freefall was the product of poor operating results posted at the end of July along with the uncertainty surrouding the company's future.

Now, with these latest confidentiality agreements, the hedge funds will have more indepth access to the company's financial condition to either put it up for sale or begin a restructuring plan. Given the fact that Bally's stock is near a 52-week low right now, a possible buyout is the most likely of the two. If the hedge funds are successful, it could be a substancial gain; however, there is always the risk that the hedge funds will simply bail on the investment and cut their losses (like Pirate Capital did to OSI not long ago!). So far investors have applauded these announcements, bringing the stock up nearly 15% since the original announcements. Though this is purely speculative at the moment, it is a great stock to keep an eye on and perhaps play with longer-term options.

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Lifetime Fitness Inc. (LTM)
Town Sports International Holdings, Inc. (CLUB)