Time Warner Inc. (NYSE:TWX) shares jumped Monday after there was speculation that the media giant may be able to unlock more value through restructuring and possible selling off its publishing unit. The speculation began after Bear Stearns analyst Spencer Wang upgraded Time Warner to "outperform" from "peer perform" explaining that the company could improve share value by speeding up its restructuring efforts over the next 12 to 18 months. One possible catalyst, according to the analyst, is a divesture or major restructuring of Time Warner's publishing division. This is a possibility since the company has already sold a number of its magazine and publishing assets recently. Wang believes that this move makes sense for the company since the division lacks synergies with other Time Warner business, which are video-centric. Moreover, the division has been somewhat of a drag on the company's growth rates and future prospects.
A leveraged spin-off of the publishing division would provide cash for Time Warner while giving shareholders a stake in the new entity - all through a presumably tax-free transaction. The transaction would not only result in an increased cash stockpile for Time Warner, but also a potential vehicle to unload some debt. It is also important to remember that spin-offs themselves tend to outperform the overall market in the first year or two after the separation. Combined, these factors make a potential TWX spin-off something
worth following closely!
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