It should come at no surprise that
Fannie Mae
(NYSE:FNM) has been loosing money, but just how much remains uncertain.
The company's shares plummeted yesterday after it announced that it was
cutting its quarterly dividend by 30 percent and raising $7 billion in
new preferred securities after a strong reception to its previous
offerings. Many investors are hunting for a bottom in this stock that
has dropped nearly 50% during the past year.
Fannie Mae
also announced today that it was expected to take credit losses of 8 to
10 basis points in 2008, compared to 4 to 6 basis points in 2007. The
company said that 60% of its "seriously delinquent" loans have credit
enhancement, based on the unpaid principal balance of the loans. The
company also took the time to explain that the $7 billion offer
yesterday will provide the company with a "capital cushion" over
regulatory requirements in a "difficult market" and take advantage of
select business growth opportunities.
The mortgage markets
themselves remain in serious trouble as a significant number of
subprime loans are expected to reset over the next 18 months. Many more
near-prime loans are expected to do the same through 2010. It is
important to note that all of these resets could cause further
defaults, which could increase the number of homes on the market and
lower prices. These lower prices then decrease the home equity the
people rely on so much in the United States.
In the end, this
problem is far from over and Fannie Mae may face further downside
before it sees any significant upside. Regardless, this is definitely a
stock to watch as once a bottom does it, there will be a great
opportunity for profit!
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