Monday, January 07, 2008
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Starbucks Corporation (NDAQ:SBUX) may be trading near its 52-week lows but many believe that it has nowhere to go but down. The coffee chain is facing increased competition from convenience-industry players like McDonalds, Dunkin Doughnuts, and regional coffee shops that threaten to slow the growth numbers to which investors have been accustomed.

McDonalds (NYSE:MCD) announced plans to take on Starbucks more directly today by installing premium coffee bars with baristas serving up cappuccinos, lattes, mochas, and frappes. Internal documents project that this program will add $1 billion to McDonald’s annual sales of $21.6 billion. The move marks another jump for a company that is already in its sixth year of a successful turnaround, while Starbucks has been struggling after years of strong growth numbers.

Starbucks has traditionally relied on the quality of its coffee to set it apart from fast food companies like McDonalds; however, the fast food chains recent switch to premium blends has many worried. It fact, the February issue of Consumer Reports even rated McDonald’s drip coffee as better-tasting than Starbucks! Since 80% of Starbucks customers do not drink in the store, quality may be the only thing keeping them coming back, which could present a problem.

Starbucks has taken actions of its own in order to combat the growing fast food threat. The coffee chain started serving lunch at many of its locations, offering customers a healthier alternative to fast food joints like McDonalds. The move has some worrying, however, that the chain may be eroding its good name by lowering itself to fast food standards. Starbucks also continues to boast the largest selection of specialty coffees, which should keep it ahead of McDonalds for serious drinkers.

Overall, Starbucks appears to be in danger of at least a significantly slowed growth with premium coffee blends expanding into fast food chains. Meanwhile, its own plans to introduce food has alienated some customers and has had very little impact on the company’s bottom line. It will be interesting to see how Starbucks responds to these threats as its shares continue to trend lower in the medium term.

Related Companies
Peet’s Coffee & Tea Inc. (PEET)
Caribou Coffee Company (CBOU)
Krispy Kreme Doughnuts (KKD)

1/7/2008 6:36:38 PM UTC  #    Comments [0]  |  Trackback