
E*Trade Financial Corporation
(NYSE: ETFC) shares rose today after insiders revealed a sharp increase
in their holdings of the troubled online brokerage. The stock is more
than 80% off of its highs primarily as a result of its subprime
exposure, which led to speculation that it may be forced to shut its
doors. In reality, the brokerage had plenty of liquidity and no real
problems with its portfolio other than a write-down. Unfortunately, the
speculation itself led to a very real exodus of its clients to
supposedly “safer” brokers. The company has since unleashed an
impressive turnaround that has many market participants bullish on the
stock - including insiders!
E*Trade insiders began accumulating shares at an impressive rate.
Ten insiders, including its chairman and acting chief executive,
purchased 474,761 shares in the company last week alone. Notably, seven
of these insiders made the purchases through open market transactions -
that is, they purchased stock like anyone else with their own cash. The
bulk of the recent purchases came after the company announced its
turnaround plan, indicating a strong internal confidence in the plan
they’ve laid out for the franchise. And so far, things seem to be
paying off as shares have made a slight recovery off of their lows.
E*Trade’s turnaround plan hinges on its ability to regain customer
confidence. The brokerage ran its annual superbowl ad this year to
inspire such confidence, proclaiming that it is opening 1,000 new
accounts daily. The fact that so many new customers are arriving and
that they could afford that superbowl ad may be just what people need.
In the end, its the clients that make the company, and if they can hit
their targets, then there shouldn’t be any problems ahead. Institutions
have also begun to buy into the turnaround as Maybach Financial added
the company to their watchlist, and many more are sure to follow.
These factors make E*Trade a compelling buy at these levels. The
brokerage has a book value of $6.13 per share while trading at only
around $5.00 per share! Moreover, if we assign an industry multiple to
this company (assuming it can turn itself around), we’d find a low end
valuation of around $10.00 per share - roughly double where it is now!
Opportunities like this one are found in companies that were beaten
down on fear where very little was affected fundamentally. This has
made the stock a compelling fundamental play for many investors at
these levels.
In the end, if E*Trade can regain its customer base, then it is
essentially right back where it started but for a lot cheaper than the
write-down warranted. Insider buying is indicating that many are
confident in a turnaround while 1,000 new accounts per day is certainly
a point worth considering. Combined, these factors make ETFC a stock
worth watching closely!
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