
E*Trade Financial Corporation
(NDAQ: ETFC) shares dropped more than 12 percent today after newly
appointed chief executive Donald Layton announced that there are no
plans to sell or break up the troubled online brokerage in an 8-K filing
with the SEC. The troubled firm likely experienced some difficulty
attracting a buyer with some $12 billion in troubled home equity loans
on its books that may still present a going concern risk. Meanwhile,
the firm is also facing lower revenues and higher expenses stemming
from a mass exodus of its brokerage clients amid concerns about
liquidity. So, is E*Trade a potential turnaround play or a hopeless
cause?
E*Trade began its fall from glory when it announced massive
write-downs related to its exposure to subprime mortgages that
currently stand at around $12 billion. Private equity firm Citadel
infused the troubled brokerage last year with $1.7 billion in debt to
keep it alive, but many are still concerned that the firm could be
insolvent in another quarter or two if write-offs continue at their
current clip. Meanwhile, E*Trade continues to struggle with keeping its
brokerage clients onboard, which is putting pressure on both its
earnings and liquidity.
Despite these problems, many shareholders are finding hope in
E*Trade’s new chief executive Donald Layton. Mr. Layton retired from
JPMorgan in 2004 after 29 years where he supervised investment-banking
and retail operatations at the bank. Since joining E*Trade, he has won
praise for the way he tackled the mortgage mess and helped put the
company on firmer financial ground. He also helped enact last month’s
appointment of Robert Druskin to the brokerage firm’s board, which may
end up paying some dividends in the future.
The price drop seen today is evidence that many shareholders were
looking or a quick-fix in the form of a sale. There was speculation
that E*Trade would break up its bank and brokerage business and sell
them off, but Mr. Layton quickly rejected the notion saying that the
ideas are “not practical and do not work”. Instead, he remains focused
on being good, long-term fiduciaries focusing on shareholder value. He
did caution, however, that the road would be a long one that would
likely see lower earnings and liqudity pressures before spectacular
results.
In the end, E*Trade is still facing some substantial issues, but it
now has a great new chief executive and is hoping to turn things
around. The road is likely to be long and dangerous, but investors
willing to stick it out may see substantial gains. However, it may be
prudent to wait until we figure out just how bad the $12 billion home
equity portfolio losses will be before initiating an investment.
Combined, these factors make ETFC a stock worth watching over the next
year!
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