
Time Warner’s
(NYSE: TWX) AOL may be finally realizing that dial-up internet doesn’t
have the brightest future. The popular internet service provider
announced today that it purchased social media site Bebo.com for $850
million in an effort to boost its content network. The deal comes after
a broad attempt to transform itself from an internet service provider
to an advertising-driven content network. So, will this acquisition end
up paying off?
Bebo is a social network that caters to the younger demographic with
a focus on entertainment - a combination particularly attractive to
advertisers. It is also the third largest social networking site,
behind MySpace and Facebook by a large margin. However, Bebo is one of
the largest social networks in Britain and is ranked number one in
Ireland and New Zealand. This international exposure could be just the
edge needed to create value.
Social media acquisitions are hard to value for investors. News Corporation’s
(NYSE: NWS) purchase of MySpace was a record at the time and ended up
paying off- the $580 million purchase is now worth an estimated $15
billion. However, Microsoft Corporation’s
(NDAQ: MSFT) $240 million 1.6% stake in Facebook is still seen as
overpaying. It turns out the Bebo also shopped itself to other
competitors like CBS Corporation (NYSE: CBS), but many thought it was too expensive.
The acquisition fits well into AOL’s new content provider business
model. The company has already launched 17 international websites over
the last year and has plans to expand to 30 countries by the end of
2008. Bebo is not only the third largest social network in the U.S.,
but also has international exposure that could synergize well with
AOL’s other holdings. Meanwhile, a string of ad-sales companies should
enable the company to drive advertising dollars.
In the end, this is good news for Time Warner’s AOL division. It is
possible that the company overpaid slightly, but perhaps the
international exposure and prominence of Bebo made it worth the price.
Regardless, it definitely marks a continued move away from the internet
service provider business and towards the much more profitable content
provider side of things. Combined, these factors make TWX a stock worth watching!
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