Lehman Brothers (NYSE: LEH) caused some commotion on the street
Monday after issuing $4 billion in preferred stock. The move was
intended to quench rumors of a capital shortage, but instead confirmed
to many that the bank is facing problems. Meanwhile, existing
shareholders aren't too happy about having their stakes diluted by up
to five percent. The stock jumped 10 percent this morning, however,
after investors digested the news overnight. So, what is the real story?
Short
interest in Lehman Brothers has increased five-fold since early 2007 as
shares fell more than 40 percent. These short sellers bet that the
stock will decline by borrowing and selling shares with the hope that
the stock price falls before the borrowed shares have to be purchased
and replaced. So far, these investors have made money as fear continues
to grip the market and force the financial sector downwards.
Lehman
Brothers has vehemently denied rumors of a capital crunch, saying that
it has $31 billion in liquid assets along with $65 billion in other
assets that it could easily borrow against. However, investors are
still a little leary given the rapid demise of rival
Bear Stearns
(NYSE: BSC) that came as a result of similar rumors. More, Lehman
Brothers in many ways has a similar risk profile to Bear Stearns.
Lehman
Brothers currently holds $31.8 billion in residential mortgage loans
and $13.5 billion in Alt-A loans. So far, the firm has been forced to
write down this portfolio by more than $3 billion. However, Lehman
insists that the remainder of this portfolio is well-hedged and and
future losses will be offset by gains in other areas.
The
greater concern is its $31 billion commercial real estate portfolio
that continues to face pressure. Many commercial real estate projects,
like its Archstone-Smith Trust investment, are falling through amid the
poor economic climate. Fewer corporations are expanding while more are
laying off significant portions of their workforce. The result is fewer
tenants and lower rental prices as a result of consistent supply.
The
move upward today comes after foreign markets rallied on the news. This
likely spooked short-sellers who then took action to repurchase their
shares before the stock rallied. These repurchases combined with
existing demand is likely what sent shares soaring higher. How much of
the demand for shares was actually driven by confidence as opposed to
shorts covering remains to be seen.
In the end, Lehman Brothers
has some significant exposure remaining that could put the firm at
risk. However, it looks like its $31 billion in liquid assets should be
enough to cover at least for the near term. The fact that it was able
to easily raise $4 billion also illustrates confidence by Wall Street.
The problem is that it came at the expense of existing shareholders and
further spooked the market in general as things still aren't getting
better.
Related CompaniesGoldman Sachs Group, Inc. (GS)The Bear Stearns Companies Inc. (BSC)JP Morgan Chase & Co. (JPM)Morgan Stanley (MS)Merrill Lynch & Co., Inc. (MER)