Tuesday, March 25, 2008
Farming may not seem like the hottest industry on Wall Street, but Monsanto Company (NYSE: MON) shareholders would disagree. The global provider of agricultural products raised its outlook for the third time in three months on stronger demand for seeds. The company's stock has more than double during the past year as a result while it is now looking for ways to spend its extra cash.

Farmers are paying top dollar these days for genetically modified corn, soybeans and cotton seeds as a result of a bullish commodities market boosted by a rapidly declining U.S. dollar and stronger ethanol demand. In fact, business is so good that Monsanto announced that it would reach its long-term margin target of 52 to 54 percent this year- a full two years ahead of schedule.

These events prompted Monsanto to also raise its EPS guidance for the fiscal year to $3.15-$3.25 from $2.70-$2.80. The company is due to report its fiscal second quarter results on April 2nd, which are expected to be seasonally strong as farmers in the Northern hemisphere begin planting. Free cash flow also reached a new record of $1.4 billion, which means shareholders are likely to begin the common "use it or lose it" campaign.

Monsanto foresaw this rhetoric, however, and said it will look for ways to invest in acquisitions that further growth, projects that support the current business's growth and dividend, and share repurchase programs that return value to shareholders. Many believe that these future acquisitions may take place in quickly growing markets in India and China as an increasing acceptance of genetically modified seeds would mean more demand.

In the end, the demand for seeds will likely continue as long as the demand for corn and soybeans remains strong. Given the weakness in the U.S. dollar combined with continued demand for ethanol, this is a definite possibility and shares of MON should continue to see upside. The real question is then: Will the company use the excess cash to the benefit of shareholders or squander it on poor acquisitions?

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3/25/2008 5:31:35 PM UTC  #    Comments [0]  |  Trackback
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