Wednesday, December 26, 2007

There’s a lot of talk about a recession these days from both politicians and economists, making many investors very nervous about the future. Recession is defined as two consecutive quarters of negative gross domestic product (GDP) growth. Currently, there is no consensus on whether we are in a recession, going into a recession, or simply in a bad market, but it never hurts to learn how to protect your stock portfolio.

Most people sell stocks from their portfolio going into a recession, but they should be buying. After all, “buy low, sell high” is the fundamental definition of how to make a profit. Those who have a long time until they plan on withdrawing money from their portfolio should look at increasing contributions to their 401(k) and IRA accounts. Meanwhile, those who are retiring soon should consider staying the course and riding out the downturn.

The most important thing you can do to protect your portfolio is to diversify your investments. This means not only buying different stocks within the United States, but also buying ETFs or mutual funds that track indexes in foreign countries. After all, countries like China and Brazil are soaring while U.S. markets are faltering. Meanwhile, diversification itself is statistical proven to not only increase returns but reduce volatility, which means you will realize more profits from your portfolio!

Recessions also produce many opportunities to profit substantially. Stock pickers who are able to sort through fundamentals will be able to find many bargains during a recession. Particularly, companies that export the majority of their products may be in a great position with a weak dollar and weak domestic economy. Meanwhile, companies providing products that people need everyday – such as energy – may also be companies that are unnecessarily beaten down.

On a related note, it is important to keep a healthy savings account since unemployment tends to rise as economic growth slows. Typically, it is important to keep three to six months worth of living expenses in an emergency fund. This money should be kept in a liquid account like a money-market account that makes more than a standard savings account but does not carry the risk of an investment account.

In the end, be sure to keep purchasing stock during the downturn and maintain a diversified portfolio that fits your risk profile. Also be sure to keep money on the side in case you are affected in other ways by a recession. Combined, these things can help you recession-proof your portfolio!

12/26/2007 9:15:32 PM UTC  #    Comments [1]  |  Trackback
9/8/2008 4:43:44 AM UTC
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