Amgen Inc.
(NDAQ:AMGN) received a boost from George Putnam's The Turnaround
Letter, which called this a great opportunity to buy Amgen stock. The
famed turnaround artist explained that a who's who list of value
investors, including David Dreman and Bill Miller, have been
accumulating the stock and he'd recommend joining them.
Here's an excerpt from the letter:
"Not
only are the short-term regulatory issues abating, but more
importantly, Amgen has the drug pipeline, the manufacturing capability
and the financial resources to remain a leader in providing biotech
solutions to the many health problems faced by the graying population
across the developed world.
"While there is still a risk that Medicare and private insurers
might impose restrictions that would hurt sales of the drugs, those
risks are pretty well priced into the stock. Moreover, the physician
community appears to favor continued widespread use of these drugs. The
company is also reducing costs, which should help offset any loss of
revenues from these two drugs.
"Longer term, Amgen's pipeline of products in development –
targeting conditions from osteoporosis to diabetes to prostate cancer
to Alzheimer's disease – is widely considered to be the strongest in
the biotechnology industry.
"Over the last few years, the pipeline has more than doubled in size
and become much more diverse. In 2006 the company spent $3.4 billion on
research and development, and it is also willing to make acquisitions
that boost the drug pipeline.
"For example, in 2006 Amgen spent $2.1 billion to purchase Abgenix,
thereby greatly expanding the company's expertise with human monoclonal
antibodies. Now Amgen is poised to launch Denosumab, a monoclonal
antibody that helps prevent the loss of bone-mineral density, and it is
viewed as having the potential to be a revenue blockbuster.
"Another strength of Amgen is its manufacturing capability.
Producing biologic drugs is more complex than many other kinds of
pharmaceuticals. With nearly $6 billion invested in plants and a highly
trained workforce, the company is well positioned to prosper as the
industry grows.
"In addition, Amgen has the financial resources, including more than
$5 billion in cash, to support all aspects of its business. Today, as
in 2000, Wall Street is wondering how fast Amgen will be able to grow
in the years ahead. There's a big difference today, though: in 2000,
the P/E ratio was as high as 77; now, it's a much more attractive 16."
Overall,
this is solid research and a great recommendation to purchase Amgen
stock at these low prices. Whether or not the market chooses to follow
this advice remains to be seen, but AMGN is definitely a stock worth watching in the meantime!
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