# Thursday, August 10, 2006
UnitedHealth Group (UNH) reported today that they were delaying their 10Q filing due to an options review. The company explained the situation in note 12 of their NT-10Q (replacement of their missing 10Q):
"This continued [options backdating] assessment includes the possibility that certain stock options may require variable accounting under APB 25, rather than fixed plan accounting as they were reflected in the then-current estimate of the maximum potential impact presented in Note 13 of the First Quarter 10-Q. Under variable accounting for these options, total stock option compensation expense is re-measured in each quarter based on the difference between the quoted market price of the stock and the stock option exercise price until the option is exercised. As the market price of the stock increases or decreases, non-cash compensation expense is adjusted and the increase or decrease is recognized over the remainder of the service period related to the options or in each quarter if the option has vested. If, upon conclusion of the independent review, the Company determines that variable accounting is the appropriate treatment for certain stock options, the resulting non-cash charges for 2005 and prior years are likely to be significant because of the substantial increase of the Company’s stock price during the period under review. Under FAS 123R, the accounting standard currently applicable to the Company (and adopted for all historical periods as disclosed in Note 1), the Company believes that the maximum potential impact of all stock option matters under review would not be significant."
So, the problem is determining how these stock options should be valued - with variable accounting or with fixed accounting. As you've read in their statement, variable accounting calls for the options prices to be recalculated each quarter. When a company's stock is rising quickly, variable accounting is the most timely/accurate way to calculate non-cash compensation expense. Fixed accounting can lead to these charges being underestimated, which is the cause for concern.

The non-cash charges mentioned in this statement are charges made by the company that do not require a cash outlay. Other examples of non-cash charges include depreciation, amortization, and depletion accounts. If the non-cash charges increased "substancially" in past years, this would result in lower earnings in the period when the charge was made - and lower earnings means a lower valuation. This is definitely a stock to watch as UNH could quickly become a buy at a discount or become a potential short.

Thursday, August 10, 2006 11:01:31 PM UTC  #     |  Trackback
Since the beginning of the year, Websidestory Inc. (WSSI) has halved from $20 in February to its current level of around $10. The most recent sell-off was due to a recent 10Q filing with the SEC on the 8th in which the company announced lower than expected results for the quarter due to a continuing increase in expenses. This was followed by a downgrade by JMP Securities, which dropped the stock even further to its current levels.

So, why should you care? Well, Websidestory filed a series of Form 4s yesterday, just as the stock is hitting its 52-week low at around $10. Director William Harris disclosed that he bought just over 199,000 shares on August 8th at $9.85 to $10.14 per share. This brings his stake to almost 207,000 shares. Director Douglas Lindroth and Chairman Jeffrey Lundsford also disclosed purchases of 5,000 and 10,000 shares, respectively. Investors are betting that this insider buying is an indicator that the company is poised for a turnaround after a devastating year.

To add to this bit of optimism, an analyst for ThinkEquity, one of the better research firms around, called the investors’ sell-off “irrational” stating that “the market largely ignored management’s focus on building out a stronger business … We were disappointed by the earnings miss and margin compression, but were also equally encouraged by record booking activity, revenue outperformance, customer wins, and raised revenue guidance, all important indicators of a company prospect”. Canaccord Adams analysts agreed with this sentiment stating that the sell-off represents “a buying opportunity for investors” citing recent acquisitions which have enabled the company to better compete in the digital marketing sector.

So, is Websidestory Inc. a buy at these levels? Insider buying and analyst opinion indicate a resounding “yes”; however, it is difficult to say how long it will take management to implement its strategies and curb its expenses. The stock is definitely worth keeping an eye on as future filings paint a clearer picture of any turnaround efforts.

Thursday, August 10, 2006 1:08:46 PM UTC  #     |  Trackback
# Wednesday, August 09, 2006
Celebration Express Inc. (BDAY) is the target of a so-called Shareholder Value Committee consisting of several independent funds, namely Spencer Capital and Thesis Capital. The Committee collectively controls approximately 19% of the company. The group unsuccessfully petitioning the board for two seats (while controlling nearly 20% of the company) in June. They were stopped dead in their tracks when the board reacted by instituting a "shareholder rights plan" that severely limited voting power, in an apparent attempt to thwart the group. In an open letter to shareholders dated August 7th, the group commented on the situation:
"We are now convinced, however, that we must have even greater Board representation than we previously requested in order to influence the Company's strategic direction in a meaningful way. Recent Board actions alarm us as shareholders: only last month, in an apparent response to our efforts, the Board unilaterally implemented a poison pill and adopted several bylaw amendments aimed at limiting shareholder rights. Significantly, the Board changed the Company's bylaws so that a majority of the Company's shareholders can no longer amend them. Rather, a supermajority of 66. % of the outstanding stock is now required."
Undeterred, the group is now threatening a proxy battle, saying in their 13D filing:
"In connection with the upcoming Annual Meeting, the Filers and the Shareholder Value Committee intend to file a proxy statement with the Securities and Exchange Commission (the "SEC") to solicit stockholders of the Company with respect to the election of directors ... [the group] determined to nominate Dr. Shubin Stein, Mr. Roseman and Matthew C. Diamond for election at the Company's 2006 annual meeting of stockholders (the "Annual Meeting"), which the Filers expect will be held in October 2006."
The group stated in an earlier filing that "they believe that the market price of the Common Stock does not adequately reflect its intrinsic value." This vague 13D filing was later clarified in the letter to shareholders:
"If elected, our nominees will push to establish a Board committee to consider and pursue strategic alternatives for the Company, including a possible sale of the Company. We believe this is a necessary step toward maximizing value for all shareholders, and a process that should be undertaken immediately."
A possible sale of the company would mean quick price appreciation. Most of the groups shares were acquired at or above the current market price - so they would likely be seeking a great premium in the event of a sale. The group plans to file its proxy statements and individually contact shareholders in the coming month before the vote. This company is definitely worth keeping an eye on - if the Shareholder Value Committee succeeds, it could mean quick profits!

Wednesday, August 09, 2006 10:13:58 PM UTC  #     |  Trackback