# Tuesday, August 29, 2006
Double-Take Software, Inc. took one more step towards becoming a public company with an S-1 filing on August 10th. The company would be the third data company to IPO this year following CommVault and Riverbed. Double-Take provides affordable backup and data recovery software to small to midsized enterprises - a market that is predicted to grow at a 25% annualized rate.

Will the company be a good buy? Well, the company has increased its revenues from $7.1m in 2001 to over $40m in 2005, although it only recently turned a profit. The company also acquired a software distributor (Sunbelt System Software) a few months ago to help expand. Sunbelt had been a long-time partner, authorized training provider and reseller for Double-Take software. The acquisition provided the company with a well qualified support and training staff as well as a stronger physical presence in Europe.

In addition to strong fundamentals, the company is also in an interesting position in their market. They are very small compared to larger competitors like EMC, and with the recent M&A activity many people thought that Double-Take would take the acquisition route instead of IPO'ing. Depending on their final valuation, the company might eventually become an acquisition target as a public company given their small market cap and strong market position.

Overall, the pricing on the IPO remains to be seen, so it is not possible to fully speculate as to how undervalued the stock is or whether or not it would be an acquisition target; however, it is definitely an IPO worth keeping an eye on.

Tuesday, August 29, 2006 11:38:56 PM UTC  #     |  Trackback
PW Eagle Incorporated (NDAQ:PWEI) manufactures and distributes polyvinyl chloride pipe and fittings and polyethylene pipe and tubing products used for turf and agricultural irrigation, natural gas transmission, water wells, fiber optic lines, electronic, and telephone lines. The company has triped in price since mid-2005 as a result of a restructuring, refinancing, and strong operating results. However, their strong balance sheet and cash flows attracted some unwanted attention...

The company revealed in a 13D filing last week that activist hedge fund Pirate Capital had increased its stake in the company from 17% to just over 21%. Pirate also bought almost $300k worth of additional shares two days later. Why? In their original SC13D filing on March 10th, Pirate said:
"The Reporting Persons originally acquired Shares for investment in the ordinary course of business because they believed that the Shares, when purchased, were undervalued and represented an attractive investment opportunity. The Reporting Persons intend to encourage the Issuer to actively pursue strategic alternatives to maximize shareholder value, including the potential sale of the company."
In the same filing, Pirate also announced its intention to nominate its own directors to the company's board during their 2006 annual shareholders meeting. Moreover, they demanded to see the company's books and shareholders on record - a move which usually indicates that the fund is going to solicit a proxy battle. This move was supported by another activist hedge fund - Caxton Associates - who also has a large interest in the company. PW Eagle, eager to avoid a proxy battle, quickly agreed to expand the board of directors and give both hedge funds a seat on the board. This immediately resulted in a special committee appointed to "explore strategic alternatives" for the company, headed by Pirate's own Zachary George. And it was this committee that likely pressured the company into instituting the $40m share buyback, which was recently announced in the company's 10Q filing with the SEC.

Is this buyback all that the hedge funds were seeking or is there something more? Many traders are speculating that something else is in the works. Caxton recently acquired a lot of call options, which are instruments that make the most money on short-term price movements, not long term investment. This, combined with Pirate's 5% increase in ownership, indicates a lot of conviction by those closest to the company. What exactly will happen remains to be seen, but one thing is certain - PW Eagle is definitely a stock to keep an eye on.

Related Companies
Westlake Chemical Corporation (NYSE:WLK)

Tuesday, August 29, 2006 3:18:56 PM UTC  #     |  Trackback
# Monday, August 28, 2006
The Warnaco Group, Inc. (NDAQ:WRNC) is the most recent target of the Barington Group, an activist hedge fund seeking to "unlock shareholder value" through any means possible. In their 13D filing with the SEC on the 21st, Barington disclosed a 5% stake in the company and outlined the issues it wanted the company to address:
  • the improvement in execution by the Company’s senior management team and oversight provided by its Board of Directors in light of a string of what the Reporting Entities believe to be recent operating disappointments stemming from (a) the recently announced financial restatement caused by accounting issues at the Company’s Chaps division and swimwear segment and the resulting Securities and Exchange Commission informal inquiry, (b) disruptions and excess costs associated with poor implementation of SAP at the Company’s swimwear segment, and (c) missed revenue growth and gross margin targets;
  • a substantial reduction in equity grants, including stock options and restricted stock, which have averaged 5.0% annually or a staggering 17.6% cumulatively of the Company’s shares outstanding over the past three and one-half fiscal years;
  • the improvement in gross and EBITDA margins, which currently trail peer averages by approximately 800 and 600 basis points, respectively, through a reduction in SG&A and corporate expenses and better merchandising;
  • the disposition of non-core brands and licenses, especially in underperforming divisions of the Company's intimate apparel and swimwear segments; and
  • the exploration of strategic alternatives, including, without limitation, the possible sale of the Company.
The company's stock rose slightly on the news, settling around $19 per share. The company is trading at a discount with a 0.82 PEG ratio and a 12x forward PE ratio. The company is also solid fundamentally with solid brand names like Speedo, Calvin Klein, Chaps, Nautica, JLO and Ocean Pacific. Any of the actions mentioned above would likely boost the price of this stock significantly.

Currently, these are just words; however, Investors should watch for future Form 4 and 13D filings from Barington as the fund positions themselves to convince management to make these changes happen. Investors should also watch for a response from the company's management and/or any meetings with the Barington Group. Warnaco is definitely a stock worth keeping an eye on as this story unfolds.

Related Companies
Maidenform Brands, Inc. (MFB)
Kellwood Company (KWD)
V.F. Corporation (VFC)

Monday, August 28, 2006 2:04:31 PM UTC  #     |  Trackback