# Wednesday, August 30, 2006
Educate Logo
Educate Inc. (NDAQ:EEEE) announced yesterday in an 8-K filing with the SEC that they had sold off their Education Station business segment in an $18 billion deal. The business segment, which helped public schools comply with the No Child Left Behind Act, was sold for $6 million with another $12 million being paid for software licensing and support. The business unit has long been a drag on the company's earnings despite increasing revenues. The stock moved up 11% in today's trading as investors applauded the move, which should help the company follow through with its turnaround plans that caused so much difficulty last quarter. The stock is currently being heavily traded by technical analysts; however, if the turnaround is successful, it may become a decent play for fundamental investors as well.

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Wednesday, August 30, 2006 11:16:26 PM UTC  #     |  Trackback
New Frontier Media Inc. (NDAQ:NOOF) announced yesterday in an 8-K filing with the SEC that activist hedge fund Steel Partners had expressed interest in leading a management buyout. According to the filing:
"At the regularly scheduled Board of Directors meeting of New Frontier Media, Inc., on August 15, 2006, Mr. Warren Lichtenstein of Steel Partners II, L.P., was provided, at his request, an opportunity to address the Board of Directors. Mr. Lichtenstein expressed an interest in leading a 'management buyout' of the shares of New Frontier Media, Inc. Mr. Lichtenstein expressed a willingness to pay a premium over the market price but declined to state the price per share or the amount or range of premium over market price that he is prepared to offer."
Two days after this announcement on the 15th, there were five insiders who obtained 25,000 call options at $7.80 (found in Form 4s). Note that call options are short-term derivatives used to take advantage of short-term price movements. This turned out to be a great buy as the stock moved up around 10% after the 8-K was released yesterday. This just goes to show how important it is to keep an eye on management activity, especially when activist hedge funds are involved.

So, is the stock still a good deal? Steel Partners likely anticipated this announcement and price movement, and therefore are probably willing to pay a premium to even this price if the transaction goes through. The stock is still cheap, trading at just 16x earnings with solid growth, good margins, and a strong cash position. This is definitely a stock worth watching, and perhaps getting involved with using an options play once things get a little clearer.

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Wednesday, August 30, 2006 2:41:51 PM UTC  #     |  Trackback
# Tuesday, August 29, 2006
Double-Take Software, Inc. took one more step towards becoming a public company with an S-1 filing on August 10th. The company would be the third data company to IPO this year following CommVault and Riverbed. Double-Take provides affordable backup and data recovery software to small to midsized enterprises - a market that is predicted to grow at a 25% annualized rate.

Will the company be a good buy? Well, the company has increased its revenues from $7.1m in 2001 to over $40m in 2005, although it only recently turned a profit. The company also acquired a software distributor (Sunbelt System Software) a few months ago to help expand. Sunbelt had been a long-time partner, authorized training provider and reseller for Double-Take software. The acquisition provided the company with a well qualified support and training staff as well as a stronger physical presence in Europe.

In addition to strong fundamentals, the company is also in an interesting position in their market. They are very small compared to larger competitors like EMC, and with the recent M&A activity many people thought that Double-Take would take the acquisition route instead of IPO'ing. Depending on their final valuation, the company might eventually become an acquisition target as a public company given their small market cap and strong market position.

Overall, the pricing on the IPO remains to be seen, so it is not possible to fully speculate as to how undervalued the stock is or whether or not it would be an acquisition target; however, it is definitely an IPO worth keeping an eye on.

Tuesday, August 29, 2006 11:38:56 PM UTC  #     |  Trackback