Thursday, November 09, 2006
Friendly Ice Cream Corp. (AMEX:FRN) may find itself in hot water soon after The Lion Fund stepped up its efforts to obtain some seats on the company's board. The fund had requested seats on the board twice now, but has failed to receive any response from the company. As a result, The Lion Fund announced today in a 13D filing with the SEC that they would actively seek spots on the board by soliciting proxies. According to the filing:
"The Reporting Persons prefer to obtain the requested board seats through action by the Issuer's board of directors, but absent such action, the Reporting Persons intend to nominate Mr. Biglari and Dr. Cooley for election at the Issuer's annual meeting of stockholders to be held in 2007, in accordance with the Issuer's by-laws providing for such nominations. In such case, the Reporting Persons intend to solicit proxies to be voted in favor of the nominees.

The Reporting Persons are concerned with the current status of the board of directors as all but one of the Issuer's current directors, including the chairman of the board, are defendants in a pending shareholder derivative lawsuit in which one of the founders of the Issuer's business and a substantial stockholder, S. Prestley Blake, is the plaintiff. Copies of two court decisions in this litigation, dated May 24, 2006, and August 25, 2006, are attached hereto as Exhibits B and C." (Read More)
Clearly there are problems at Friendly Ice Cream Corp., and The Lion Fund may be the answer. After all, the fund's large ownership stake in the company gives them a very high vested interest in seeing the company turn around. The company's stock is currently trading at $10.24, down almost 2.5% on the news.

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11/9/2006 6:53:27 PM UTC  #    Comments [0]  |  Trackback
Borders Group Inc. (NYSE:BGP) moved up over 8% today after famed activist Bill Ackman said he thought the company was extremely cheap at an investors conference today. He predicted that the company could be worth $36 per share in 18 months and planned to disclose an 11% stake. The head of Perishing Square Capital - an activist hedge fund - also added that he is happy with the company's aggressive repurchasing plan along with its new CEO George Jones. Notably, Ackman also holds an 8% stake in rival Barns and Noble (NYSE:BKS) - a stock on which he made similar comments. Both of these stocks are definitely  worth watching as Ackman accumulates shares.

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Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN)
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11/9/2006 4:49:13 PM UTC  #    Comments [0]  |  Trackback
 Wednesday, November 08, 2006
Gyrodyne Company of America, Inc. (NDAQ:GYRO) may soon find itself in hot water after activist hedge fund Opportunity Partners LP disclosed a 17.58% in the company and announced that it would be nominating three of its own directors to the Board and eliminating the poison pill at the upcoming annual meeting. In a 13D/A filing, Opportunity Partners furnished a letter stating:
"As you know, Full Value Partners L.P. is a major shareholder of Gyrodyne Company of America, Inc. and is a member of a group that is Gyrodyne's largest shareholder. Please be advised that Full Value Partners intends to (1) nominate three persons for election as directors at the annual shareholder meeting to be held on December 7, 2006 [Phillip Goldstein, Timothy Brog, and Andrew Dakos] and (2) present a proposal to terminate Gyrodyne's poison pill.

The purpose of this letter is to respond to the material developments set forth in Gyrodyne's recent press release, specifically that Gyrodyne (1) has expanded the size of the board and (2) intends to acquire ten buildings in the Port Jefferson Professional Park in Port Jefferson Station, New York. We believe these actions are  nconsistent with Mr. Maroney's public statement of April 21, 2006:

'Our goal is to put the maximum amount of cash or marketable securities in the hands of our shareholders in a tax-efficient manner.  Any offer will be measured against our corporate strategy as outlined at the December 2005 shareholders meeting.  That strategy includes the repositioning of the Company through conversion to a REIT, and the disposition and redeployment of assets to achieve one or more shareholder liquidity events in a reasonable period of time.'" (Read More)
To date, there have been no significant shareholder liquidity events, which was probably one of the reasons Opportunity Partners was involved in the company (given their history). With the company expanding the size of the Board and acquiring ten new buildings, they are increasing their cash burn and obviously not "redeploying their assets" to acheive a shareholder liquidity event. If the hedge fund is successful in taking over the Board and eliminating the poison pill, it could mean that this goal to "put the maximum amount of cash or marketable securities in the hands of shareholders" may actually get implemented. This makes GYRO a stock definitely worth watching.

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11/8/2006 5:38:39 PM UTC  #    Comments [0]  |  Trackback
Dow Jones News and Reuters are reporting today that Carl Icahn received a go-ahead from antitrust officials to go ahead with his purchase an additional $200 million worth of shares of Lear Corporation (NYSE:LEA), bringing his stake to 16% from 5%. Lear's stock is down from over $60 per share in 2004 to its current levels around $25 per share. Although undervalued as an asset play, the company is strugging with declining margins and a weak backlog. If Icahn can help the company successfully execute its restructuring, it could add a lot of value to this stock and help it return to its prior highs. This is definitely one worth watching.

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11/8/2006 5:22:27 PM UTC  #    Comments [0]  |  Trackback
Double-Take Software, Inc. (NDAQ:DBTK)
S-1/A Filing by the Company
Double-Take Software announced today that it plans to price its IPO at $9 to $11 per share with 7.5 million shares being sold. These shares are to be listed on the NASDAQ under the symbol DBTK. The software company represents yet another much awaited IPO in this year's frenzy.

Scottish Power plc (NYSE:SPI)

6K Filing by the Company
Today, the Board of Scottish Power confirmed that it has received an approach, which may or may not lead to an offer being made for the company. The bid is assumed to be from Spanish rival Iberdrola. Industry sources are speculating that Iberdrola would make an offer at 800p a share, valuing Scottish Power at £12 billion. There are also other parties that may be interested in the company, but have yet to make firm bids. The company's stock rose 14% on the news to close at $58.37.

Station Casinos (NYSE:STN)
Watch List
Station Casinos moved higher by almost 8% today as rumors of a possible buyout flooded the market. The entire sector has been seeing upside lately after the LBO of Harrah's Entertainment not long ago by private equity groups.

11/8/2006 12:13:18 AM UTC  #    Comments [0]  |  Trackback
 Tuesday, November 07, 2006
Brink's Company (NYSE:BCO)
13D/A Filing by Steel Partners
Steel Partners revealed today that they increased their stake in Brinks by 110,000 shares, bringing their total position from 5.7% to 8%. There was no change to the fund's "Purpose of Transaction", which remains for investment purposes.

FX Energy, Inc (NDAQ:FXEN)
13D Filing by James Chalmers
James Chalmers expressed his interest in executing plans brought up by another majority investor
Barton J. Cohen. Choen insisted that the Board of Directors be replaced in order to institute his ideas to cut administrative expenses, revise its compensation policies, strengthen financial management and improve investor relations. He said he "was not seeking an overall change in leadership of the Company, but sought to encourage management to lead the Company in making the changes necessary to maximize all stakeholders' value in a timely fashion."

NetManage, Inc. (NDAQ:NETM)

13D/A Filing by Riley Investments
Riley Investments announced today that it would raise its previous cash offer for NetManage to $5.50 per share from its previously rejected offer of $5.25. The fund also announced that it would extend the response date to November 20, 2006. The stock moved up 8% on the news to $5.25.

11/7/2006 3:42:27 AM UTC  #    Comments [1]  |  Trackback
 Monday, November 06, 2006
Midas, Inc. (NYSE:MDS)
13D Filing by RGM Capital, LLC
RGM revealed today that it had accumulated a 5.11% stake in the company. Although the disclosure is fairly standard, it is worth noting that the fund focuses on value investments in small cap companies. MDS is currently trading below enterprise value with margins that beat their industry and earnings that are continuing to recover.

Moscow CableCom Corp. (NDAQ:MOCC)
13D/A Filing by Renova Media Enterprises Ltd.
Renova revealed today that it is interested in acquiring MOCC at $10.80 in an all-cash offer. The Board is currently reviewing the offer with independent financial advisors; however, it is worth noting that Renova already holds a 43% stake in the company with a 61% share of its capital on a diluted basis. The stock is currently trading at $11 as some may be speculating a higher offer in the future.

Nautilus, Inc. (NYSE:NLS)
13D Filing by Sun Capital Securities
Sun Capital Securities revealed today that it has accumulated a 5.2% stake in Nautilus, Inc. Although the fund did not disclose any unusual plans, there was a bit of speculation today since Sun is fresh off its dealings with TALK, after it withdrew its $9/share bid for the company. Nautilus is up 5% today after it announced its quarterly results where it dropped underperforming units to boost the company's earnings.

11/6/2006 9:17:02 PM UTC  #    Comments [0]  |  Trackback
Swift Transportation Co., Inc. (NDAQ:SWFT) confirmed today that it received a bid for the company at $29 per share in cash by Jerry Moyes, the company's largest shareholder and former CEO. Now usually we wouldn't pay attention to a stock that has already moved; however, the stock jumped over 23% on the news in early morning trading today to $29.60 - a premium which usually indicates the anticipation of a raised bid. This possibility makes the stock worth watching a little more closely!

According to a letter attached to the 13D/A filing:
"I am pleased to submit this proposal to acquire Swift Transportation Co., Inc. ('Swift') at a substantial premium to the market value of Swift's shares. I propose to acquire Swift through a corporation to be formed by me in an all-cash transaction at a price of $29.00 per Swift common stock share. To finance the transaction, I will roll over substantially all of my current investment in Swift and have received a written commitment from Morgan Stanley for the entire amount of the debt financing necessary to consummate the transaction. Given Swift's recent performance, $29.00 per share is a full and fair price for Swift’s common stock, providing an attractive opportunity for its stockholders to maximize the value of their investment in Swift. The $29.00 offer price represents a significant, more than 21%, premium over yesterday's closing price for Swift's shares. I believe such a transaction would be in the best interests of Swift and its stockholders, and that Swift’s stockholders will find such a transaction compelling." (Read More)
The offer is still well off of Swift's highs of the year of just over $33 per share. Swift is also trading below its enterprise value with a PE of 14x earnings even after this move. While this buyout price erases nearly all of the stock's losses on the year, it would not be unfeasible for the buyout price to rise higher. Currently, the Board of Directors is reviewing the offer, with Goldman, Sachs & Co. as its financial advisor. This stock is definitely worth watching as this offer is evaluated.

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11/6/2006 4:49:06 PM UTC  #    Comments [0]  |  Trackback

ElkCorp (NYSE:ELK) became a merger target today after Samuel J. Heyman/Building Materials Corporation of America disclosed a 10.36% stake in the company and indicated that it was interested in pursuing a business combination with the company, in a 13D filing with the SEC. In response to the interest, ElkCorp announced that they would review their strategic alertnatives, which may include a possible merger or sale of the company. Moreover, the company noted that there were several third parties that had interest in the company.

According to the attached letter:

“As we advised you last week and again on our Sunday conference call, we have a strong interest in pursuing a business combination with Elk at an all cash price to be negotiated.  We believe that a combination of our two companies provides Elk shareholders with the opportunity to realize full value for their shares because of the unique synergies that exist between our two businesses which are an excellent fit for each other.  For this same reason, the combination will provide significant benefits to Elk customers and employees.

As you know, in addition to the extremely difficult operating environment we in the roofing industry now confront - resulting from unprecedented asphalt costs, margin erosion, and excess inventories - the industry faces significant long-term challenges as well.  It is now readily apparent that, in the last few years, aberrational demand from weather-related events temporarily obscured the impact of higher costs and slowing industry growth, especially in the maturing market for laminated shingles.  In our view, consolidation is the only logical response to these conditions.

We have always held Elk and its employees in the highest regard, having known each other as competitors, suppliers, and friends.  In recent months, we have carefully studied this combination and believe that Elk and BMCA are uniquely complementary.  The limited overlap among customers and distribution channels, as well as the geographic fit of our companies’ respective facilities, offer an opportunity to enhance the combined company’s competitive position by achieving economies of scale and improving our ability to respond to customer needs to a degree that would not be available to either company on a stand-alone basis or with any other partner.

As a combined company, we would lead the industry as the lowest-cost roofing manufacturer in the country, able to deliver product quickly and efficiently to customers in every section of the country.  Our customers would also benefit from access to the most comprehensive product offering in roofing, the industry’s oldest and most developed contractor programs, and two of the industry’s most trusted and respected brand names.  Finally, bringing together our companies’ world-class employees, who have driven exceptional innovation and strong historical.

We have invested a significant amount of time and money in the evaluation of a transaction between our companies.  Since our companies have known each other for many years, we are quite familiar with your business, as we know that you are with ours.  With your cooperation, after conducting reasonable confirmatory due diligence, we expect to be in a position to promptly provide an appropriate offer to you and your shareholders.  As discussed on our conference call, we are willing, of course, to execute a customary confidentiality agreement.  In addition, you should know that as a result of our discussions with lenders, we are confident that satisfactory financing for the transaction is readily available and our offer will not be subject to a financing contingency.” (Read More)

Clearly there is a good case for the merger between these two companies, as evidenced in this letter. With several other possible bidders at the table, this could turn into a bidding war, which could mean significant share appreciation even after the stock’s 25% move in morning trading today. Even after the large move, the stock still trades below enterprise value with a forward PE of just 12x earnings. Moreover, the company is still trading down 24% on the year, meaning most investors are likely still underwater on their investment and may require a higher premium to be bought out. Either way, this company is a great one to keep an eye on as this situation unfolds.

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11/6/2006 4:25:08 PM UTC  #    Comments [0]  |  Trackback
 Friday, November 03, 2006
Travelzoo Inc. (NDAQ:TZOO) owners and brothers Ralph and Holger Bartel revealed continued dumping on TZOO stock in a series of Form 4 filings with the SEC. The two sold 1,560,000 shares - or almost 10% of the company - in open market transactions. Meanwhile, the company increased its float by 52%, from 3 million to 8 million shares. This selling and dilution erased the 20% gains that TZOO saw after it released an earnings report last week that beat street EPS estimates, showing strong growth in net profit margins. However, the increased float and 1.5 million share sale should have had a greater impact on the stock price with everything else constant; this indicates that there are buyers accumulating shares and holding the stock up. Some are even going so far as to speculate that the Bartels sold their shares in order to increase the float (which is currently only 2.94 million shares) to enable institutional buyers to participate in the action.

While these events are unusual, they are not uncharacteristic of Travelzoo. The stock has been a roller coaster ride for investors, having dropped from its 2004 highs of $95 to $17 before recovering to its current levels in the $30s. If this isn't evidence enough, all it takes is one look at the stock's beta of 6.77 to see that it is highly volatile! With 30% of the float shorted and 83% institutional ownership, more volatility is certainly on the horizon as this company continues to move forward.

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11/3/2006 6:36:14 PM UTC  #    Comments [0]  |  Trackback