Friday, March 16, 2007
Hypercom Corporation (NYSE:HYC) shares rose $0.33, or 6.4%, to $5.49 today after RLR Capital Partners and their affiliates disclosed a 5.1% stake in the company and expressed concerns about management's new strategy discussed in their March 7th conference call in which the company said they planned to use their excess cash in order to grow the company's terminal services business through acquisitions. The hedge fund believes that this strategy is the wrong use for the company's excess cash and instead believes that the company should use the cash to repurchase their own shares. Why? It's simple: The company's shares are trading at only 4.5x EBITDA, making its own shares the best value in the terminal services industry! RLR encouraged the company to repurchase a third of their outstanding shares using a combination of cash and short-term investments along with the after-tax proceeds of their sale of a building and land in Phoenix which could be immediately accessed by borrowing against the real estate. With this $86 million, the company could afford to repurchase approximately 18 million of the 53 million outstanding shares.

RLR also expressed concerns about the company's low margins compared to its peers; why is the company focusing on an acquisition strategy when its core businesses are still lagging behind the competition? Hypercom's margins are expected to approach 10% this year compared to competitors VeriFone and Lipman Electronics, who have seen 20% margins. Based RLR's projected 2008 revenue for Hypercom of at least $340 million, each incremental 100 basis points of margin improvement yields approximately $0.10 of incremental EBITDA per share, giving effect for the reduced share count from the buyback described in their plan above. Using a range of EBITDA multiples of 8 to 12 times (compiled from industry averages), each incremental $0.10 of EBITDA per share is worth $0.80 to $1.20 per share in valuation, which is quite significant given the company's current share price. So, if Hypercom can achieve margins similar to those of Lipman when it was acquired (i.e., 20% in 2008 vs. projected 10% in 2007), then the incremental 1000 basis points of margin improvement would yield an additional $1.00 per share of EBITDA, which would be worth $8.00 to $12.00 per share, or $280 to $420 million in total. These numbers represent a 45% to 118% premium to the current market price - certainly something worth considering!

Finally, RLR suggested that if the company found itself incapable of making improvements to its core businesses, it should consider exploring strategic alternatives, including a possible sale of the company. There is a history of successful acquisitions in Hypercom's industry and it is simple to see why a sale would make sense. In April of last year VeriFone (the #2 player in the industry) acquired Lipman Electronics (the #3 player in the industry) for $793 million in a deal that created a new #1 player in the industry. Lipman was acquired for 12x current year EBITDA and 10x forward year EBITDA in this transaction. Based on the these multiples, and using the lower Hypercom share count of 35 million, the company would have a value of $420 to $450 million, or approximately $12 to $13 per share in the event of a buyout. Certainly this is another option for shareholders that is worth noting!

Clearly, RJR has brought up some excellent alternatives to the acquisition strategy discussed by management. In the end, any acquisition strategy would be hard pressed to match the shareholder value potential seen in these estimates. Moreover, there is always a great amount of risk associated with any acquisition strategy. If the company expresses interest in utilizing RJR's plans or working with them to unlock shareholder value, it could mean significant upside from these levels. You can read their entire letter to the company's board and management by reading through their Schedule 13D filing with the SEC. However, this situation clearly makes HYC a stock worth following!

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3/16/2007 6:25:52 PM UTC  #    Comments [0]  |  Trackback
Griffon Corporation (NYSE:GFF) shares moved up marginally after Barington Capital disclosed a 5% stake in the company and expressed its concern that the current stock price does not reflect the intrinsic value of the company's operating divisions. In particular, the hedge fund believes that the market has been undervaluing the company's telephonics subsidiary as well as what they view as the company's core businesses - garage doors and specialty plastic films. Barington made several recommendations aimed at helping the company move above its three year $18.50 to $28.50 range, which has led to significant investor concern recently.

Barington made five key recommendations aimed at unlocking value for shareholders in the company's struggling operating segments:
  1. Unlock the value of the company's Telephonics subsidiary, which is trading at a significant discount to its peers. Based upon Barington's analysis of publicly traded defense electronics companies as well as recent M&A activity in the industry, the Telephonics subsidiary should be valued at 9-12 times EBITDA or approximately $400 million to $550 million. Unfortunately, the market current values the entire company at only 7 times EBITDA! While the company said it recognizes this discount, the hedge fund recommends that the company consider an IPO, tax-free spin-off, or an outright sale of the subsidiary so shareholders can fully realize its value.
  2. Increase share repurchases by incurring additional debt. With a net debt/trailing EBITDA of only 1.4x, the hedge fund believes that the company is under leveraged. If the company increased its leverage to Barington's recommended 2.5x net debt/trailing EBITDA level, it would be able to raise approximately $110 million. Combined with its current $20 million in excess cash, the company would be able to repurchase approximately 15-20% of the company's outstanding shares. The hedge fund believes that if the buyback takes place at a premium to the going prices, it would be accretive to the company's earnings per share.
  3. Pursue cost reduction initiatives to improve margins. Barington said that while it applauds the reduction of the Plastic subsidiary's workforce in 2006 that is expected to result in approximately $5 million in annual cost savings, they believe that further reductions in the company's cost structure are necessary. Given that the Garage Doors subsidiary has recently experienced pressures on revenues and earnings, they believe that the company should particularly focus on this business.
  4. Divest installation services to focus on higher margin divisions. Barington notes that while most of the company's operating divisions are high market share, high margin businesses, the company's Installation Services division is an exception. Moreover, the hedge fund noted that the performance of this business is tied to the volatility of the housing market, which is obviously experiencing volatility these days. Consequently, Barington recommends that the company divest this segment to solidify earnings.
  5. Improve corporate governance by declassifying the company's board of directors and separating the chairman and CEO positions. These are critical issues that need to be addressed in order to ensure that shareholders remain in control of the company.
Barington has a long track record of successfully working with the management teams and board of directors of publicly traded companies to develop plans to create or improve shareholder value. If they are able to get these five changes implemented, it could mean significant upside for GFF shares. Meanwhile, we know that the Clinton Group has expressed similar thoughts in the past when they said the company's shares could be worth between $31 to $35 per share. Combined, these factors make GFF a stock worth following!

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3/16/2007 3:55:42 PM UTC  #    Comments [0]  |  Trackback
World Air Holdings, Inc. (OTC:WLDA) shares moved up $0.16, or 1.54%, to $10.56 today after the Clinton Group disclosed a 5.3% stake in the company and expressed its concerns regarding the company's poor shareholder communication and financial performance. The hedge fund said that rather than simply restating the steps they believe the company should take to maximize shareholder value, including pursuing a sale transaction, they again protest the utter lack of transparency in the company's dealings with shareholders, exemplified by the glaring lack of shareholder communication, an inability to timely provide SEC financials, and minimal guidance as to the evaluation of strategic alternatives by the company and its financial advisers, Legacy Partners.

The Clinton Group then recommended that the following steps at a minimum should be presented by the company for consideration by the shareholders at this year's annual meeting:
  1. Stockholders are currently denied the right to call a special meeting. The by-laws should be amended to permit shareholders owning 15% of the outstanding shares to call a special meeting.
  2. The charter and by-laws should be amended to eliminate the classified board and replace it with a single class of directors annually elected.
  3. The by-laws should be amended to limit the board size to no more than 11 members.
  4. The by-laws should be amended to permit shareholders to fill any vacancies on the board as a result of shareholder removal of directors whether with or without cause.
The majority of the provisions that the hedge fund is seeking to remove are "poison pills" aimed at protecting the company in the event of a hostile takeover. Classified boards enable companies to retain board control even if a hedge fund is successful by staggering election times. Meanwhile, companies also occasionally increase the size of the board to dilute any new hostile directors' influence over the company. And finally, by allowing shareholders to fill any vacancies on the board, it eliminates the need for an election by the company, which typically favor incumbent directors.

So, what does all of this mean? Well, the Clinton group has already said that it will be nominating three candidates to the company's board of directors at the company's next annual meeting. Their goal is to make sure that the most appropriate approach to maximize shareholder value is implemented - clearly, they will be pushing for a sale. If they are successful, it could mean significant upside for the company's shares, which have remained relatively stagnant during the past couple of years. Moreover, if the board implements the recommended changes, it would make it a lot easier for the hedge fund to launch a more direct campaign to take over the company's board of directors. Combined, these factors make WLDA a stock worth following!

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3/16/2007 3:11:33 PM UTC  #    Comments [0]  |  Trackback
 Thursday, March 15, 2007
Loral Space & Communications, Inc. (NDAQ:LORL) is facing an increasing amount of pressure from a large hedge fund who is now seeking to investigate a recent share purchase agreement with a board member. Highland Crusader Offshore Partners LP, a 5% stakeholder in the company, demanded to inspect books and records of the company to investigate possible mismanagement, breaches of fiduciary duty, corporate waste, and improper influence and conduct with respect to the negotiation, execution, and approval of a Securities Purchase Agreement that enabled Loral's controlling shareholder - MHR Fund Management LLC - the exclusive right to purchase from Loral shares of two newly created series of convertible preferred stock for $300 million.

What was the problem with the transaction? Well, according to the hedge fund, a lot:
  1. The transaction appears on its face to be a sweetheart deal for MHR. The aptly timed transaction not only took place without any competitive bidding but also appears to have been "spring-loaded" in that shortly after the announcement of the SPA, Loral announced a series of positive business developments that caused its stock price to rise from $27 per share to $51 per share. And what was the conversion price of the SPA shares? They were set below the intrinsic value of Loral set by the bankruptcy courts only 18 months earlier at $30.15 per share.
  2. The terms of the transaction were unfair and oppressive to Loral and its non-participating shareholders. The transaction provides for the issuance of shares to MHR representing approximately 50% of Loral's current equity, giving MHR the opportunity to increase its equity stake from 35.9% to 56%! Moreover, Loral had no need to accept an insider transaction carrying such unfair and onerous terms. The company had ample cash available, no identified need for the $300 million of capital, and no identified exigency that would force Loral to agree to such a deal.
  3. The transaction entrenches current directors by giving MHR an enormous number of additional votes when their SPA's convert to common stock along with triggering punitive financial consequences due to a "change of control" in the board's composition under the terms of the transaction.
  4. The board can no longer remain independent now that three of Loral's eight directors are affiliated with MHR, including the non-executive vice chairman of the board. Moreover, with the enormous voting power now granted, it is unlikely that the board would offer much opposition to MHR demands.
  5. The transaction was with Loral's controlling shareholder, which was a fact that was disclosed publicly. Additionally, the company has said that MHR exercises significant influence over Loral's operating subsidiary, Loral Skynet.
While the outcome of this investigation obviously remains to be seen, there is certainly some shady aspects of this deal. This case only further demonstrates the occasionally negative influences that activist shareholders can have on companies - something that investors much watch carefully when evaluating investment opportunities.

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3/15/2007 5:57:40 PM UTC  #    Comments [0]  |  Trackback
Lenox Group, Inc. (NYSE:LNX) shares moved up $0.16, or 3.16%, to $5.23 today after the Clinton Group expressing its concern over previous management and the board's performance in guiding the company. As the second largest shareholder, the hedge fund urged the company to consult shareholders with respect to any material changes at the company, including (1) modification of the company's engagement of Carl Marks Advisory Group, (2) offers of employment for senior management positions, (3) capital structure and financing issues, and (4) any strategic transactions potentially being contemplated by the company. The Clinton Group also offered to help facilitate the company's turnaround and exploration of strategic alternatives by providing three director candidates for shareholder consideration. The Schedule 13D/A filing showed The Clinton Group holding a 10.9% stake through two of its Cayman Island-based funds. This large stake would give them significant leverage in any conflicts or negotiations with the company in the future. Notably, John Morgan and his affiliates (7% holders in the company) expressed similar dissatisfaction with management back in September of last year. This makes LNX a stock worth watching!

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3/15/2007 5:35:41 PM UTC  #    Comments [0]  |  Trackback
eSpeed, Inc. (NDAQ:ESPD) shares moved higher yesterday after Chapman Capital disclosed a 9.3% stake and demanded that the company put itself up for sale in a Schedule 13D filing with the SEC. Problems began in early 2004 when the hedge fund begun to recognize a significant divergence between the performance of the company's common stock and its publicly traded peers. Specifically, in 2004 the company stock plummeted 47% while that of its peers remained flat, and in 2005 the company's stock dropped 37% while its peers added 49%. Then in January of 2006 there was a glimmer of hope when The Daily Telegraph reported that Cantor Fitzgerald was preparing a stock market float of BGC Partners, its London-based brokerage business, in a move that was expected to lead to a merger with eSpeed, the Nasdaq-quoted broker also controlled by Cantor, to create a company worth between $500 million and $1 billion. However, this deal never materialized. Then, in a highly questionable December 2006 Form 4 filing with the SEC, Mr. Lutnick was granted, free of cost, 800,000 Class A common stock options - representing 3% of the company's outstanding shares! This upset many investors who feared the potential dilutive effects of the options. Finally, the last straw came in February of this year when the company issued a press release that disclosed its FY2007 financial outlook. Investors were outraged to find out that company projected nearly break-even operating performance due to approximately $152 million of non-GAAP operating revenues being consumed by $146 to $148 million of non-GAAP operating expenses, a level of spending which Chapman Capital and other investors have thought unacceptable.

So, Chapman finally voiced his opinions during the company's February 14, 2007 conference call to discuss 4Q2006 earnings. Mr. Chapman commented, "Why not actually take the initiative, retain an investment bank, and actually try to find someone who can deliver immediate value to the owners? And it doesn't have to be a cash transaction. It can be a stock swap. If the transaction is as accretive as you might fear it to be for the buyer, i.e., that you think you might be selling the Company too cheaply, in theory, and it typically has worked out this way in the past, the acquirer shares that we'll be receiving as eSpeed holders will appreciate and make up for any discount you think we may have gotten in the transaction. Because being open minded and understanding a couple of cents per quarter in cost for growth is one thing. But the other side of the page is the opportunity cost. Had you years ago, with the benefit of hindsight, obviously, been able to see what could happen with the stock, with ICAP and some of the other competitive initiatives that have hurt the Company, we could be sitting on a $15, $20, $30 value now in another currency instead of eSpeed. So I would encourage you to be more than open minded. I think being much more proactive in this will be to the benefit of the owners. We want to stay constructive as owners of this Company. But the ownership base, seeing us on the 13F filings has been calling us and asking us to get much more aggressive in pursuing the Company to sell itself, and I hope that you'll see the light before we feel the need to do so."

Chapman Capital began contacting the company's peers to (1) broaden the understanding of the company's business, assets, liabilities, and competitive positioning, and (2) inform the company's peers of their interest in selling the company. The hedge fund also began contacting various past and present owners of the company in order to survey their views of the company. They found that the ownership base conveyed a nearly uniform desire for the company's value to be maximized through a change-of-control transaction. The problem is that approximately 88% of the company's voting power is controlled by Mr. Lutnick and his affiliates, despite owning a minority of the company's common stock. This is accomplished through the issuing of Class B shares, which have a higher voting power (10 votes each). Consequently, Chapman Capital demanded that the board of directors convert all Class B shares to Class A common stock. In the end, the hedge fund said that given Mr. Lutnick's failure to perform in his capacity as CEO, the company's long-term shareholder value should be maximized via a full scale auction of the company that is not limited to BGC as the sole negotiating counterparty. If this takes places, shareholders could see significant upside from these levels. This makes ESPD a stock worth watching!

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3/15/2007 2:12:40 PM UTC  #    Comments [0]  |  Trackback
Cisco Systems (NDAQ:CSCO) said it will buy online videoconferencing company WebEx Communications for $2.9 billion as part of a strategy to sell comprehensive packages of communication products. The deal, worth $3.2 billion including WebEx's existing cash, would be Cisco's biggest acquisition since the network equipment maker bought cable set-top box maker Scientific-Atlanta for $7 billion last year. Cisco said on Thursday it will launch a cash tender offer for all outstanding WebEx shares at $57 each, a premium of 23% over their Nasdaq close of $46.20 on Wednesday.

A General Electric (NYSE:GE) unit and private equity firm Blackstone Group will jointly acquire mortgage and vehicle fleet management company PHH for $1.8 billion in cash, the companies announced Thursday. The $31.50-per-share purchase price is about a 13% premium to PHH's closing stock price of $27.81 on Wednesday. PHH shares jumped in trading on the NYSE. GE is paying sixteen times expected 2007 earnings of $1.95 per share, according to Reuters Estimates, which is based on one analyst's estimate.

Ameriprise Financial (NYSE:AMP) said on it plans to buy back as much as $1 billion in stock and increased its quarterly dividend to $0.15 to $0.11 per share.

The 159-year-old Chicago Board of Trade (NYSE:CBOT) found itself the target of a possible bidding war Thursday when electronic futures market IntercontinentalExchange Inc. made a surprise $9.9 billion all-stock bid, threatening its deal to merge with the crosstown Merc.Shares of CBOT jumped $28.86, or 17.4%, to close at $194.95 on the NYSE. ICE fell $3.83, or 2.9%, to $128.10, while CME shed $31.09, or 5.5%, to $532.88.

Bear Stearns Cos. (NYSE:BSC), Wall Street's largest underwriter of mortgage securities, reported Q1 rose 8%, despite turmoil in the subprime lending sector. Its profit after paying preferred dividends rose to $548.5 million, or $3.82 per share, for the three months ended Feb. 28 from $508.7 million, or $3.54 per share, a year earlier. Revenue rose to $2.48 billion from $2.19 billion last year.

3/15/2007 4:22:24 AM UTC  #    Comments [0]  |  Trackback
 Wednesday, March 14, 2007
The Topps Company, Inc. (NDAQ:TOPP) may face some strong shareholder opposition after it ousted two hedge fund managers from a committee built to evaluate possible rival bids to the company's standing $385.4 million buyout agreement with Michael Eisner's Tornate Co. The committee - which included Arnaud Ajdler from Crescendo Partners and Timothy Brog from Pembridge Capital Management - was initially setup by the company to seek better offers during the next 40 days after Topps was sued by a shareholder on March 8th who sought a higher sale price. Ajder and Brog, who collectively own 6.6% of the company, contend that the $9.75 per share offer was too low and expressed concern that the company did not show the company to all possible buyers (notably, director John Jones also opposed the bid).

Ajder fired back at management today in a letter attached to his Schedule 13D/A filing with the SEC. In the letter, he said that the company set a new low in corporate governance that would be taught in business schools as a clear illustration of poor corporate governance. Ajdler went on to note five concerns:
  1. The board appointed two new people (who support the existing merger agreement!) with the power to monitor the day-to-day developments during the "go-shop" period and made it clear that the Ad Hoc Committee (of which Brog and Ajder were members) no longer had such authority. Why? The board reasoned that the two hedge fund managers could not adequately reprensent the best interest of shareholders!
  2. The board created an Executive Committee consisting of all board members except Brog and Ajder. Instead of allowing them to voice their opinions in the company's board room, the company simply created a new committee to silence opposing views. Clearly this isn't in the best interest of shareholders.
  3. The company failed to correct a statement that it made on March 7th to the WSJ in which it said, "'Over the past two years, we have been working with Lehman Brothers to examine all opportunities to deliver value, and no other superior proposals emerged in that time frame,' said a spokeswoman to the company." This statement gives the false impression that Topps was shopped or that alternative proposals were solicited before entering into a merger agreement at $9.75, which isn't true.
  4. The board held a telephonic meeting in which none of the three directors who voted against the merger agreement were provided with an agenda. When a motion to have Topps issue corrective disclosure was duly made and seconded at the meeting, it was ruled out of order by the chairman because he said it wasn't on the agenda.
  5. The company mischaracterized Ajder's comments opposing the deal as stemming solely from the fact that the process that led to the merger agreement was flawed because the board did not shop the company; however, the main reason was the inadequate offer price.
In the end, Ajder strongly urged the comapny to reconstitute the Ad Hoc Committee, to disband the Executive Committee and to make corrective disclosure. Topps continues to ignore the will of its shareholders and continues to be run as a private club, and according to the hedge fund, this must stop. If the company takes such corrective actions and additional bids are solicited, it could mean significantly higher offers for the company. This makes TOPP a stock worth watching!

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3/14/2007 4:28:26 PM UTC  #    Comments [0]  |  Trackback
Metro One Telecommunications (NDAQ:INFO) shares moved up $0.12, or 5.91%, to $2.15 after Strategic Turnaround Partners LP (STEP) disclosed a 9.17% stake and expressed their concern over the current management and direction of the company in a Schedule 13D filing with the SEC. The hedge fund said that it has been supportive of the company's management and efforts to lower operating cost structure and respond to the loss of significant contracts; however, they now believe that the company's board and management develop an efficient and effective plan to realize the company's growth potential over the next year. Moreover, STEP said they read the 13D filing by Everest Special Situation Fund LP and agreed with the demands made to the company's board to maximize shareholder value, including bringing in an executive experienced in coporate restructurings. Finally, they asked that the company install one of its own nominees to the board of directors to help the company implement these changes.

Everest Special Situations Fund, an 8.1% holder, obtained board representation in April 2006, and has since been lobbying the board from within to take immediate action to restructure the company's operations and lower the company's cost structure in response to the loss of the company's largest customers and heavy operating losses. However, despite their efforts, the company has failed to take the immediate and aggressive measures necessary to make the company profitable. The hedge fund said that the company's chairman of the board, William Rutherford, has been slow to make important decisions and has not provided the leadership that the company needs to counteract these losses. As a result, Everest made three demands in a Schedule 13D/A filing that STEP now supports:
  1. Call for the resignation of the company's chairman of the board, William Rutherford.
  2. Elect a representative of one of the company's largest stockholders as a chairman of the board.
  3. Hire a chief restructuring officer or similar executive who specializes in corporate turnarounds.
Finally, Everest said that it may seek to replace members of the company's board through a proxy contest at the next shareholders meeting if necessary. This is all good news for shareholders who have dealt with significant losses now for several years. The company's stock has dropped more than 98% since its highs in mid-2001, and the only way it is going to turn itself around is with a good turnaround team and confident leadership. Combined, these factors make INFO a stock worth watching!

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3/14/2007 2:41:24 PM UTC  #    Comments [1]  |  Trackback
General Motors Corp. (NYSE:GM) fell 0.9%, even after the company returned to profitability in the fourth quarter, when it said that it is refunding $1 billion to its financing unit GMAC after selling 51% of the lending unit due to losses at its residential mortgage business.

Citigroup (NYSE:C) rose 0.7% after one of its executives said the bank won't lift its offer for Nikko Cordial any further. This is good news for investors after the company had already hiked its bid by 26% to $13.4 billion on Tuesday.

Google (NDAQ:GOOG) fell briefly today after Viacom (NYSE:VIA) filed a $1 billion lawsuit alleging that its YouTube unit used more than 160,000 of its videos without permission. Despite its prior successes, Viacom will likely face strong opposition by the well capitalized darling of Wall Street.

Accredited Home Lenders (NYSE:LEND) shares dropped over 65% after it said it is seeking more capital and exploring strategic options after paying about $190 million in margin calls since January 1st. This is the latest subprime lender that has been experiencing issues with the drastic increases in defaults.

New Century Financial (NYSE:NEW) shares were suspended today after the NYSE officially delisted their stock after shares fell by more than 50%. The company said that its obligations to Credit Suisse First Boston Mortgage Capital were $1.4 billion, up from the prior estimate of $900 million.

Boeing Co. (NYSE:BA) shares rose 1.9% after Continental Airlines increased a previous order of 20 Boeing 787 jets to 25.

Schering-Plough Corp. (NYSE:SGP) agreed to purchase Organon biosciences for $14.4 billion in cash from Holland's Akzo Nobel, which previously planned to sell part of the unit through an IPO.

Dollar General Corp. (NYSE:DG) jumped 25% after it agreed to be acquired by affiliates of buyout firm KKR in a transaction worth $7.3 billion.

3/14/2007 5:18:19 AM UTC  #    Comments [0]  |  Trackback