Tuesday, March 20, 2007
Palm Inc. (NDAQ:PALM) shares moved up $0.73, or 4.02%, to $18.87 today after Unstrung.com said that a Palm buyout could be finalized by Thursday of this week, citing sources close to the situation. The popular technology news source said that Nokia was the leading vendor bidder with Palms' management said to be the preferred private equity buyer. The deal reportedly includes bids from two private equity firms, two vender companies, and would top $20 per share. Many are also quick to note that Motorola may attempt to block any bids from Nokia in an effort to increase their pricing power with Palm's successful Treo line and quiet Carl Icahn who recently complained that Motorola was not utilizing its cash. Finally, a Motorola buyout would also block Nokia from taking control of the enterprise market. So, while we do not have sure bids yet, it is almost certain that PALM will be bought out by someone in the very near future - the question just remains by whom and for how much?

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3/20/2007 7:36:57 PM UTC  #    Comments [0]  |  Trackback
Magic Software Enterprises Ltd. (NDAQ:MGIC) shares jumped 1.25% in early trading after the company announced that it has appointed Eitan Naor as its new President and CEO. Mr. Naor is an experienced turnaround CEO that previously assisted ECtel (NDAQ:ECTX) in its restructuring efforts. ECtel is a small cap telecom fraud prevention and revenue assurance company that fell dramatically between 2002 and 2004. Under his leadership, ECtel turned itself around and experienced nine consecutive quarters of revenue growth and improved financials while the stock priced soared from a low of around $2 per share to a high around $5 per share.

Magic Software is another small cap company that announced a major restructuring plan in the fourth quarter of 2006. Since then, the company has returned to profitability and now hopes that the Mr. Naor can help the company increase its profitability and make a complete turnaround. Given Mr. Naor's success at ECtel, MGIC may be a stock to keep an eye on as they continue forward with their plans.

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3/20/2007 3:18:54 PM UTC  #    Comments [0]  |  Trackback
Lancaster Colony Corp. (NDAQ:LANC) shares moved up marginally after Barington Capital  disclosed an 5.2% stake in the company and expressed their concerns about the company's share price performance in a Schedule 13D filing with the SEC. Specifically, the hedge fund and its partners believe that the company should implement a number of measures to improve its profitability and share price performance, including:
  1. The divesture of the company's Automotive, Glassware and Candles segments.
  2. A reduction in corporate level expenses resulting from Lancaster's holding-company structure.
  3. The implementation of several initiatives to return the Specialty Foods segment to historical levels of profitability with an operating income margin of at least 20%.
  4. A debt-financed self-tender offer to repurchase at least $300 million of the company's outstanding common stock.
Barington noted that they have had discussions with members of the company's management team with respect to some of these measures which they believe will significantly improve shareholder value. The group now seeks to discuss these measures in further detail with the company's management team and independent members of the company's board of directors. If any of the above measures are implemented it could mean substantial upside for the company's shareholders. Specifically, a spin-off or sale of any or all of the above-mentioned divisions would provide the company with additional cash and (in the event of a spin-off) opportunities for shareholders to profit in a new issue. Meanwhile, a restructuring could save the company a lot of money which would provide a visible boost to the company's earnings. And finally, a $300 million share repurchase would represent about 20% of the company's outstanding shares - a substantial number by any measure. Combined, these factors make LANC a stock worth watching over the next few months!

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3/20/2007 2:36:47 PM UTC  #    Comments [0]  |  Trackback
Business software maker Oracle Corp. (NDAQ:ORCL) posted quarterly profit and revenue on Tuesday that topped Wall Street forecasts as new software license sales rose. Oracle's fiscal Q3 net profit rose to $1.03 billion, or $0.20 per share, from $765 million, or $0.14 per share, a year ago.  Revenue rose to $4.4 billion from $3.47 billion as Oracle sold more software that helps companies manage everything from accounting to human resources to inventory management. New license revenue rose to $1.39 billion from $1.1 billion in the Q3 ended February 28. Sales of new software applications, including acquisitions, rose 57% while new database and middleware software license sales increased 17%. Oracle shares rose more than 4% to $18.28 in extended trade from a Nasdaq close of $17.55.

The chairman and chief executive of struggling movie-rental company Blockbuster Inc. (NYSE:BBI) got the company's board to give him a slightly bigger bonus for 2006, but not without agreeing to give up his job. John Antioco, who has been the CEO for nearly a decade, will leave the company by the end of the year, Blockbuster announced Tuesday. Shares closed down $0.25, or 3.5%, to $6.86 in trading on the NYSE, then lost another $0.06 in after-hours trading. When he leaves, Antioco will recieve a lump sum payment of $5 million, considerably less than the $13.5 million he would have been entitled to receive if he had been terminated without cause or had resigned for good reason at year's end.

An investment group that includes the founder and chairman of Affiliated Computer Services (NYSE:ACS) is offering $5.93 billion in cash to take the information technology services company private. Affiliated Computer Services Inc. Chairman Darwin Deason said Tuesday he has teamed with investment partner Cerberus Capital Management to make the $59.25 per share bid. That represents a 15.5% premium to ACS's closing price Monday of $51.29 on the NYSE. ACS shares rose above the offered price Tuesday, climbing $8.69, or 17%, to close at $59.98 on the NYSE. They have traded in a 52-week range of $46.50 to $63.61.

Adobe Systems Inc.
(NDAQ:ADBE) reported flat Q1 sales but easily exceeded Wall Street expectations with a 37% surge in profit, prompting bullish executives to raise guidance Tuesday as the software company prepares its biggest-ever product launch. Net income for the three months ended March 2 was $143.9 million, or $0.24 a share, up from $105.1 million, or $0.17 a share, in the same quarter of last year. Adobe said it expects to earn $0.23 to $0.26 per share on revenue of $700 million to $740 million in the second quarter. The San Jose-based company, which employs 6,100 people and makes graphic design, publishing and imaging software, reaffirmed its annual revenue growth target of 15%.

The printing for the final Harry Potter book will not only be the biggest, but also the greenest. Scholastic Inc. (NDAQ:SCHL) announced Tuesday that it had agreed with the Rainforest Alliance, a conservation organization that works with the business community, on tightened environmental standards for "Harry Potter and the Deathly Hallows," coming out July 21 with a first printing of 12 million.The paper used to write the 784-page book will contain a minimum of 30% post-consumer waste (pcw) fiber. A "deluxe" edition of the new book, which has a first printing of 100,000, will be printed on paper that contains 100% post-consumer waste fiber. Scholastic would not say at the time how much recycled paper it used, but said it did not use paper from ancient or endangered forests on the other HP books. Sales, apparently, were not affected: "Half-Blood Prince" sold 6.9 million copies in the first 24 hours.

Capital One Financial Corp. (NYSE:COF) Chairman and Chief Executive Richard Fairbank received compensation the company valued at more than $18.1 million in 2006, almost all of it in options awards and roughly the same amount as the past two years, according to a regulatory filing made Tuesday. Fairbank, 56, received options awards with an estimated value of $18 million at the time they were granted, but did not receive a salary, a bonus or any other cash and equity-based incentives. In November 2005, Capital One bought New Orleans-based Hibernia Corp., which had branches in Texas and Louisiana, for $4.9 billion. In December, the company completed its $13.2 billion acquisition of North Fork, which operates banks in New York, New Jersey and Connecticut. The deals, which make Capital One the 11th-largest bank in the U.S. by deposits, drew mixed responses from Wall Street. The stock was flat for the first half of 2006, then plunged in the summer because of credit concerns, especially in the United Kingdom. Shares in Capital One closed up 57 cents, or 0.75 percent, at $76.21 on the NYSE. In the past year, the company's shares have traded in a range of $69.30 to $87.50.

Wal-Mart Stores Inc. (NYSE:WMT) claims that with "plenty of room" to grow in Canada, it is on track to open 29 discount and supercenter stores in the country this year.

Claire's Stores (NYSE:CLE) became the latest US retailer to go private as it accepted a $3.1 billion takeover from Apollo Management, the US buy-out group run by Leon Black. The deal caps an auction for the Florida-based jewellery and female accessories store chain that lasted about three months and included Apax Partners, the British private equity group, in the final round. Private equity groups have found fertile ground for investments in all corners US retailing, from luxury department stores to discount chains and specialty stores.

3/20/2007 2:09:26 AM UTC  #    Comments [0]  |  Trackback
 Monday, March 19, 2007
Genesco Inc. (NYSE:GCO) shares moved up $3.42, or 8.64%, to $43.02 today after Women's Wear Daily (WWD) reported that Foot Locker Inc. (NYSE:FL) was preparing a tender offer for Genesco in the $44 to $46 per share range, but could go as high as $48 per share. Citing financial sources close to both firms, the newspaper said that the bid is expected to be announced soon, perhaps as early as this week. Many analysts are saying that this is not an unusual move as the company had expressed interest in the cap business for some time. Genesco shares have not reached the buyout range due to the fact that the company is widely expected to rebuff any offers; however, Genesco shareholders clearly support the prospect of a buyout as they pushed shares up over 8% during today's session. It will be interesting to see just how devoting Foot Locker is to making this deal go through - it is likely that we could see a raised bid after the initial bid is rebuffed. Combined, these factors make GCO a stock that is definitely worth watching!

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3/19/2007 6:03:33 PM UTC  #    Comments [0]  |  Trackback
Take-Two Interactive Software, Inc. (NDAQ:TTWO) shares moved up $1.48, or 7.1%, to $22.33 after the company announced that it would be delaying its annual meeting in order to review the proposed actions recommended by activist hedge funds earlier this month. The company also said that it was reviewing a number of its own strategic alternatives, including a possible sale of the company. Given that these hedge funds control approximately 46% of the company, it is likely that something will come out of this review, whether it be one of the company's suggestions or inclusion of the investors' board candidates on the proxy.

Take-Two has been troubled with poor results and accounting problems, with its former CEO having been indicted by the SEC for options backdating and later convicted. The company also had to restate years of earnings after it inaccurately accounted for stock option grants; the company ended up incurring $43 million in additional expenses. Clearly, change is needed here but what course of action the board decides to take remains uncertain. In the meantime, this is a great stock to watch as the company mulls its options.

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3/19/2007 4:04:15 PM UTC  #    Comments [0]  |  Trackback
TLC Vision Corporation (NDAQ:TLCV) may find itself under increased scrutiny after Glenhill Advisors disclosed a 13.9% stake in the company and expressed their concerns about the company's under performance in a Schedule 13D filing with the SEC. In their letter to the company's board of directors, they stated that they are carefully monitoring the business, operations, and financial performance of TLC Vision. They are concerned that the company is currently under performing in a variety of respects and that if it continues on its current course, its business and financial prospects may be significantly negatively impacted. Interestingly, they also noted that the availability of any viable strategic alternatives may also be significantly limited as a result. The hedge fund said that it is exploring all of its options, including potential changes to the board composition.

Investors should also be aware that Sowood Capital Management, a 7% holder in the company, expressed similar concerns back in December of last year. The hedge fund changed its status from a passive 13G to an active 13D while noting that they intended to engage in discussions with management. Meanwhile, analysts recently noted that visibility into TLC Vision's performance going ahead remains weak, in spite of early signs of traction being shown by the LVC strategy - noting that there is scope for the company's fundamentals to improve substantially in 2008 and beyond. Whether or not Glenhill or Sowood take action remains to be seen; however, this is definitely a stock to watch in the meantime.

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3/19/2007 2:57:37 PM UTC  #    Comments [0]  |  Trackback
Rambus (RMBS) shares rose 5.5% today after the company announced that the Federal Trade Commission (FTC) clarified that the company isn't restricted from collecting royalties for the use of some of its technologies in the past. The FTC also noted that Rambus isn't required to refund royalties already paid.

Egl Inc. (EAGL) shares moved up 1.7% after the shipping company accepted a $1.7 billion buyout offer. The company's CEO is leading the investor group planning to take the company private.

Systemax (SYX) shares dropped over 20% after hours today when the company announced that its operating income fell to $11.3 million from $18.5 million a year ago, mostly due to decreased gross margins in its discounted computers and consumer electronics products. The margins fell to 12.9% from 14.7% one year ago.

Cosi (COSI) shares fell 1.6% today after the company reported fourth-quarter sales of $31.8 million, up from $28.6 million a year ago, but below the $34 million analyst consensus. Meanwhile, their quarterly losses narrowed to 12 cents a share from 16 cents a share a year ago.

Agile Software (AGIL) dropped around 3% after hours after the company's fiscal third-quarter sales came in slightly below expectations at $33.2 million. meanwhile, its net loss for the period increased to $5.87 million or 10 cents a share.

Nortel (NT) shares lost 2.4% after the company announced lower estimates for its annual and quarterly results. the company said it expects FY2007 revenues to be flat to slightly down compared with 2007. The loss comes from a decrease in revenues from its sale of its third-generation UMTS radio-access business to Alcatel-Lucent.

Altria Group (MO) ended down slightly after a federal appeals court judge said Friday that a previous court ruling that banned "implied health messages" applied to the company's international businesses as well as its domestic operations. The courts ruled that the company couldn't sell brands that were marketed using health messages such as light or low tar in the USA.

Walt Disney (DIS) shares rose on news that the company finished a probe into stock option practices at Pixar that began prior to its acquisition by Disney. The probe found that while options were backdated, no one currently associated with the company engaged in any intentional or deliberate acts of misconduct.

Aeropostale (ARO) shares rose today after the cmopany said net earnings were $57.3 million while same store sales rose 2.2%.

Accredited Home Lenders (LEND) shares continued their volatility today after surging 56% during the regular session before dropping 10.4% after hours. The subprime mortgage lender said that it has received margin calls from its financial backers and was looking to raise capital to enhance liquidity.

3/19/2007 2:14:54 AM UTC  #    Comments [0]  |  Trackback
 Friday, March 16, 2007
Hypercom Corporation (NYSE:HYC) shares rose $0.33, or 6.4%, to $5.49 today after RLR Capital Partners and their affiliates disclosed a 5.1% stake in the company and expressed concerns about management's new strategy discussed in their March 7th conference call in which the company said they planned to use their excess cash in order to grow the company's terminal services business through acquisitions. The hedge fund believes that this strategy is the wrong use for the company's excess cash and instead believes that the company should use the cash to repurchase their own shares. Why? It's simple: The company's shares are trading at only 4.5x EBITDA, making its own shares the best value in the terminal services industry! RLR encouraged the company to repurchase a third of their outstanding shares using a combination of cash and short-term investments along with the after-tax proceeds of their sale of a building and land in Phoenix which could be immediately accessed by borrowing against the real estate. With this $86 million, the company could afford to repurchase approximately 18 million of the 53 million outstanding shares.

RLR also expressed concerns about the company's low margins compared to its peers; why is the company focusing on an acquisition strategy when its core businesses are still lagging behind the competition? Hypercom's margins are expected to approach 10% this year compared to competitors VeriFone and Lipman Electronics, who have seen 20% margins. Based RLR's projected 2008 revenue for Hypercom of at least $340 million, each incremental 100 basis points of margin improvement yields approximately $0.10 of incremental EBITDA per share, giving effect for the reduced share count from the buyback described in their plan above. Using a range of EBITDA multiples of 8 to 12 times (compiled from industry averages), each incremental $0.10 of EBITDA per share is worth $0.80 to $1.20 per share in valuation, which is quite significant given the company's current share price. So, if Hypercom can achieve margins similar to those of Lipman when it was acquired (i.e., 20% in 2008 vs. projected 10% in 2007), then the incremental 1000 basis points of margin improvement would yield an additional $1.00 per share of EBITDA, which would be worth $8.00 to $12.00 per share, or $280 to $420 million in total. These numbers represent a 45% to 118% premium to the current market price - certainly something worth considering!

Finally, RLR suggested that if the company found itself incapable of making improvements to its core businesses, it should consider exploring strategic alternatives, including a possible sale of the company. There is a history of successful acquisitions in Hypercom's industry and it is simple to see why a sale would make sense. In April of last year VeriFone (the #2 player in the industry) acquired Lipman Electronics (the #3 player in the industry) for $793 million in a deal that created a new #1 player in the industry. Lipman was acquired for 12x current year EBITDA and 10x forward year EBITDA in this transaction. Based on the these multiples, and using the lower Hypercom share count of 35 million, the company would have a value of $420 to $450 million, or approximately $12 to $13 per share in the event of a buyout. Certainly this is another option for shareholders that is worth noting!

Clearly, RJR has brought up some excellent alternatives to the acquisition strategy discussed by management. In the end, any acquisition strategy would be hard pressed to match the shareholder value potential seen in these estimates. Moreover, there is always a great amount of risk associated with any acquisition strategy. If the company expresses interest in utilizing RJR's plans or working with them to unlock shareholder value, it could mean significant upside from these levels. You can read their entire letter to the company's board and management by reading through their Schedule 13D filing with the SEC. However, this situation clearly makes HYC a stock worth following!

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3/16/2007 6:25:52 PM UTC  #    Comments [0]  |  Trackback
Griffon Corporation (NYSE:GFF) shares moved up marginally after Barington Capital disclosed a 5% stake in the company and expressed its concern that the current stock price does not reflect the intrinsic value of the company's operating divisions. In particular, the hedge fund believes that the market has been undervaluing the company's telephonics subsidiary as well as what they view as the company's core businesses - garage doors and specialty plastic films. Barington made several recommendations aimed at helping the company move above its three year $18.50 to $28.50 range, which has led to significant investor concern recently.

Barington made five key recommendations aimed at unlocking value for shareholders in the company's struggling operating segments:
  1. Unlock the value of the company's Telephonics subsidiary, which is trading at a significant discount to its peers. Based upon Barington's analysis of publicly traded defense electronics companies as well as recent M&A activity in the industry, the Telephonics subsidiary should be valued at 9-12 times EBITDA or approximately $400 million to $550 million. Unfortunately, the market current values the entire company at only 7 times EBITDA! While the company said it recognizes this discount, the hedge fund recommends that the company consider an IPO, tax-free spin-off, or an outright sale of the subsidiary so shareholders can fully realize its value.
  2. Increase share repurchases by incurring additional debt. With a net debt/trailing EBITDA of only 1.4x, the hedge fund believes that the company is under leveraged. If the company increased its leverage to Barington's recommended 2.5x net debt/trailing EBITDA level, it would be able to raise approximately $110 million. Combined with its current $20 million in excess cash, the company would be able to repurchase approximately 15-20% of the company's outstanding shares. The hedge fund believes that if the buyback takes place at a premium to the going prices, it would be accretive to the company's earnings per share.
  3. Pursue cost reduction initiatives to improve margins. Barington said that while it applauds the reduction of the Plastic subsidiary's workforce in 2006 that is expected to result in approximately $5 million in annual cost savings, they believe that further reductions in the company's cost structure are necessary. Given that the Garage Doors subsidiary has recently experienced pressures on revenues and earnings, they believe that the company should particularly focus on this business.
  4. Divest installation services to focus on higher margin divisions. Barington notes that while most of the company's operating divisions are high market share, high margin businesses, the company's Installation Services division is an exception. Moreover, the hedge fund noted that the performance of this business is tied to the volatility of the housing market, which is obviously experiencing volatility these days. Consequently, Barington recommends that the company divest this segment to solidify earnings.
  5. Improve corporate governance by declassifying the company's board of directors and separating the chairman and CEO positions. These are critical issues that need to be addressed in order to ensure that shareholders remain in control of the company.
Barington has a long track record of successfully working with the management teams and board of directors of publicly traded companies to develop plans to create or improve shareholder value. If they are able to get these five changes implemented, it could mean significant upside for GFF shares. Meanwhile, we know that the Clinton Group has expressed similar thoughts in the past when they said the company's shares could be worth between $31 to $35 per share. Combined, these factors make GFF a stock worth following!

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3/16/2007 3:55:42 PM UTC  #    Comments [0]  |  Trackback