Wednesday, August 08, 2007
Brink's Company (NYSE:BCO) board member and activist investor Thomas Hudson of Pirate Capital demanded in a letter that the security services provider consider a tax-free split-up of the company. The news comes after Pirate Capital's long-publicized battle with the company to unlock shareholder value. Many are hoping that the large support for a break-up may finally do just that!

A survey of shareholders, conducted by D.F. King & Co., polled 90.17% of the outstanding Brink's shareholders and found that 49.4% of them wanted the company to pursue a split-up while 66.95% said that they would like the board to review the possibility of a split-up. Hudson was quick to point out that if management did not consider the possibility of a split-up by the next election, shareholders could put them out of a job.

"While a sale of the company, as opposed to a tax-free split-up, could be more lucrative to you under your change of control agreement with Brink's, potentially enriching you with millions of dollars, I believe the survey is conclusive as to the large shareholder preference for a split-up," Hudson said in the letter.

Hudson's Pirate Capital currently holds an 8.6% stake in the company and would stand to gain substantially from any measures intended on unlocking shareholder value. This makes BCO a stock worth watching!

Related Companies
Protection One, Inc. (PONE)
EGL Inc. (EAGL)
Fedex Corporation (FDX)

8/8/2007 7:44:11 PM UTC  #    Comments [0]  |  Trackback
MercadoLibre Inc.'s upcoming initial public offering has been generating a lot of buzz lately, especially given its largest investor - eBay Inc. (NDAQ:EBAY). The Buenos Aires company owns and operates auction websites in several South American countries, including Argentina, Uruguay, Chile, Brazil, Columbia, Ecuador, Peru, Mexico and Venezuela. It is also launching portals in Costa Rica, the Dominican Republic and Panama.

MercadoLibre is expected to raise $270 million in its initial public offering. The company is expected to sell 2.6 million shares for between $16 and $18 each while stockholders will sell an additional 16 million shares. Interestingly, eBay does not plan to sell any of its 8.1 million share stake during the offering and will control around 19.7% of the company's outstanding shares. Since eBay didn't acquire the company outright, they clearly do not see a huge opportunity in Latin America yet enough to retain their stake and see where things go.

MercadoLibre reported 2006 net income of $1.1 million on revenues of $52.1 million. The first quarter of 2007 proved to be blockbuster for the company when it reported net income of $1 million on revenues of $16.5 million. Whether or not the company succeeds remains to be seen, but this is definitely a stock to watch as the situation unfolds!
8/8/2007 4:53:58 PM UTC  #    Comments [0]  |  Trackback
MASSBANK Inc. (NDAQ:MASB) shares rose marginally after Lawrence B. Seidman disclosed a 5.83% and made several suggestions to the company aimed at unlocking value for shareholders. The activist investor recommended that the company consider (1) an accelerated share repurchase program, including considering a dutch auction, (2) a new management team capable of making proper loans, and (3) a sale of the company.

MASSBANK is clearly in need of change. A quick look at the balance sheet shows a clear dropoff in earnings. Total assets have gone down to 15 consecutive quarters, from $1 billion in September of 2003 to $817 million in June 2007. Net loans have declined for 7 consecutive quarters from $230 million in September 2005 to $197 million in the most recent quarter. And total deposits have gone down 15 consecutive quarters, from $899 million in September 2003 to $705 million in the most recent quarter.

Perhaps more troubling is the company's sloth-like response to market conditions and weak balance sheet. Amazingly, net loans only account for 24% of total assets. No other exchange-traded thrift has a ratio below 32% and most have somewhere around 71%. Meanwhile, cash and cash equivalents accounts for 27% of assets! This means a cash to loans ratio of 112%! This is beyond conservative and bordering sheet laziness on the part of management.

Seidman also disclosed a rather disturbing conversation that he had with management. The investor contacted Mr. Brandi - the President and CEO - to discuss MASB's strategic plans for transforming the balance sheet, improving earnings, and returning capital to shareholders. Mr. Brandi then insulted Seidman by saying there was no way he'd ever meet the board of directors. After quickly dismissing the request, Mr. Brandi then challenged Seidman to a proxy fight in 2008. The CEO insisted that the activist investor could never win because shareholders love him so much.

In the end, this company has several problems that need to be addressed as soon as possible. The proposals made by Mr. Seidman make sense and should be considered by the board of directors. Combined, these factors make MASB a stock worth watching!

Related Companies
LSB Corporation (LSBX)
JPMorgan Chase & Co. (JPM)
BB&T Corporation (BBT)

8/8/2007 3:36:09 PM UTC  #    Comments [0]  |  Trackback
 Tuesday, August 07, 2007
SunTrust Bank (NYSE:STI) shares moved up marginally after rumors surfaced that the company may become a takeover target for Citigroup (NYSE:C) who may be looking to increase its presence in Florida while increasing its profitability through cost savings. One banker noted that the company was in talks with a large bank while another said he would be surprised if the bank wasn't in talks with two to three other banks.

SunTrust has long been the target of takeover speculation, but never has Citigroup been mentioned as a potential candidate. Instead, many believed that Wells Fargo, JP Morgan, and PNC would be the most likely suitors. Citigroup is different from these players in that its assets are large but it has a relatively small branch presence and profitability. This would suggest that a SunTrust takeover would be make sense for the company to expand its footprint.

SunTrust CEO Jim Wells was quoted as saying that his company was exploring all options to help turn the company around. More, many analysts have suggested that Citigroup's organic growth has been slowing and it may be forced to pursue acquisitions in the U.S. markets. As for a price, many prior reports have thrown around $105 to $115 per share as likely buyout prices. And this makes STI a stock worth watching!

Related Companies
Wachovia Corporation (WB)
Bank of Montreal (BMO)
JPMorgan Chase & Co. (JPM)

8/7/2007 6:57:40 PM UTC  #    Comments [0]  |  Trackback
CBRE Realty Finance (NYSE:CBF) shares dropped $1.21, or 19.48%, to $5.00 after the company announced disappointing second quarter results. The commercial real estate specialty finance company has been suffering amid the mortgage crisis, but appears to be substantially undervalued even given the risks that it faces.

CBRE announced that it was forced to write-down $7.8 million on one of two foreclosed assets but insists that the company is still trading more than 50% below its book value. The company's current assets include $211 million in CDOs, $75.8 million in Joint Venture Equity, $54.6 million in foreclosed assets, $72.9 million in warehouse lines, and $42.4 million in cash. If we subtract out $61.5 million in Trust Preferred Securities, we come up with a total net value of $395.7 million.

Based on the current market price, these assets are being priced a more than $205 million below their estimated book value. Even discounting the foreclosed assets division and some of the potentially-risky CDO's the company would still be undervalued! But in reality, the strong fundamentals in the commercial real estate market have many believing that the company is substantially undervalued. This makes CBF a stock worth watching!

8/7/2007 3:46:33 PM UTC  #    Comments [0]  |  Trackback
 Monday, August 06, 2007
NuCo2 Inc. (NDAQ:NUCO) shares rose $0.40, or 1.59%, to $25.63 after Shamrock Activist Value Fund disclosed a 5.66% stake in the company and recommended that it consider issuing a $7/share special dividend and institute a regular dividend of $0.25/share. The move caused a late-day rally that continued into after-hours pushing the stock price past $25.90.

Shamrock said that it believes the company's capital structure is sub-optimal and could support a substantial increase in long-term debt without compromising the company's ability to execute its business plan. Specifically, after considering a range of alternatives including, but not limited to, a further share repurchase, special dividend, and regular dividend, we recommend that the company utilize the strength of its balance sheet and strong cash flows to pay a dividend of $7.00 per share and institute an ongoing regular annual dividend of $0.25 per share. Achieving a debt financing package at attractive rates and terms should be achievable over the next 60 days."

In the end, the activist hedge fund feels that if the company believes it can achieve its business plan, they believe shareholders would be best off with a recapitalization of the company as proposed. Finally, Shamrock also requested a meeting with the board to discuss this proposal along with other measures that can be taken to unlock shareholder value. Combined, these factors make NUCO a stock worth watching!

Related Companies
Airgas Inc. (ARG)
Penford Corporation (PENX)
Quaker Chem Corporation (KWR)
8/6/2007 9:22:35 PM UTC  #    Comments [0]  |  Trackback
Temple-Inland (NYSE:TIN) shares moved up $0.86, or 1.6%, to $54.76 today after the company announced that it would sell its timberland holdings for $2.4 billion and distribute the money to shareholders via a special dividend. The move comes amid an Icahn-led restructuring of the company that many shareholders are hoping can help it unlock value.

The 1.6 million acres of timberland will be sold to Campbell as part of the company's restructuring move that will also include spin-off of its financial services and real estate operations. The moves should help the highly diversified company with branches in financial services, real estate, corrugated packaging and forest products consolidate its operations and focus on its core competencies.

Famous activist, Carl Icahn, holds a 6.7% stake and has been pushing for a sale of the company since the beginning of this year. Shares in the company are up over 18% since he first indicated he was involved and continued to rise before their recent drop. Since then, some other activist investors have taken stakes in the company as many are banking on a restructuring to unlock value for all involved.

The special dividend from this timberland sale will amount to $10.25 per share while the remaining $700 million from the sale will be used to pay down debt. The move will help Icahn and other large shareholders cash out a portion of their stake while they wait on the company to complete their spin-offs of the other organizations. Combined, these factors make TIN a stock worth watching!

Related Companies
USG Corporation (USG)
International Paper Company (IP)

8/6/2007 5:27:07 PM UTC  #    Comments [0]  |  Trackback
Intel Corporation (NDAQ:INTC) shares moved up marginally after the Financial Times reported that the company plans on entering the high-end cell phone market currently dominated by Blackberry and iPhone. Many are carefully watching this move as yet another large player enters an already crowded cellular chip maker marketplace.

Intel's CEO said that the company plans to create more products to push "internet access, compute capability, small form factors, or high performance, or low power for cost savings, are all necessary ingredients, to build these new classes of machines, whether it's in computer. It is where the handset world is going, or where the world of consumer electronics is going."

Essentially, Intel believes that it can create smaller chips with an extended battery life. The company also said it plans to integrate its WiFi and WiMax technologies as part of the product. Given the company's affiliation with Sprint and Clearwire, the firm will likely challenge large US cellular providers like AT&T and Verizon Wireless. This makes INTC a stock worth watching!

Related Companies
Apple Inc. (AAPL)
Advanced Micro Devices (AMD)
Broadcom Inc. (BRCM)
8/6/2007 3:50:22 PM UTC  #    Comments [0]  |  Trackback
 Friday, August 03, 2007
Lear Corp. (NYSE:LEA) shareholders have been on a roller coaster recently after successfully rebuffing Carl Icahn's bid just last month but things finally seem to be stabilizing. The auto-parts company posted strong second-quarter results today on cost-cutting and customer diversification moves. Some shareholders are confident that the company will be a strong independent performer while others are hoping for a raised bid for the company in the near future.

Lear has been following the lead of many auto suppliers by cutting down on its workforce by closing plants and moving more work to countries with lower labor costs to combat higher raw material costs and less demand from U.S. manufacturers. These efforts have led to operating margins improving to 7.7%  from 5.7% just one year earlier. The company also said it plans to intensify such moves and report improved operating results in 2008 despite even or lower sales.

Lear has also been focusing on gaining new business with Asian and other foreign automakers. Stronger production overseas combined with favorable exchange rates have helped the company's competitors, like TRW Automotive, post stronger results. Lear hopes to replicate this success for their own business by moving their operations offshore and focusing on international business development. Combined, these factors make LEA a stock worth watching!

Related Companies
Visteon Corporation (VC)
Alcoa Inc. (AA)
Stoneridge Inc. (SRI)

8/3/2007 4:14:47 PM UTC  #    Comments [0]  |  Trackback
Dillard's Inc. (NYSE:DDS) shares fell $1.49, or 5.28%, to $26.75 today after the company rebuffed Barington Capital's attempt to meet with the company's chief executive to discuss ways in which the company can maximize shareholder value. Shareholders clearly disapproved as shares tumbled off of their 52-week highs and many are hoping that the hedge fund will continue working to make meaningful changes to the company.

Barington Capital is a well known activist hedge fund that has been pushing the company to maximize shareholder value. The hedge fund points out that Dillard has lagged in almost every retailing measure of success, including (1) sub-par operating margins and same-store growth, (2) lowered valuation multiples compared to its peers, (3) and it has a ROIC that is two percentage points below its WACC.

Barington Capital said it believes the company's shares are materially undervalued and asked to meet with company executives to discuss ways in which shareholder value can be maximized. Measures to accomplish this would include changes to the company's inventory management, merchandising and also involve measures to contain costs.

The hedge fund also sees ample opportunities with the company's extensive real estate portfolio. These opportunities would include converting certain properties to more profitable uses, closing unprofitable stores and offering sales/leaseback options to owned properties. Combined, these operational and property changes should could result in substantial value being unlocked for shareholders. This makes DDS a stock worth watching!

Related Companies
Macy's Inc. (M)
Stage Stores, Inc. (SSI)
Retail Ventures Inc. (RVI)
8/3/2007 3:34:37 PM UTC  #    Comments [0]  |  Trackback