Delta Airlines (NYSE: DAL) and Northwest Airlines Corporation (NYSE: NWA) may be moving away from deal talks that seemed almost certain just weeks ago. The two airlines received approval on January 11th to begin merger talks and rumors quickly surfaced that the negotiation was moving quickly as they hammered out the fine points. However, two stories today seem to contradict such rumors as the two airlines appear to be moving away from any possibility of a merger. Many shareholders still insist that the two airlines could combine as early as in the next two weeks amid pressure from institutional shareholders and investors looking for a change.

Comments by Delta officials to their hometown Atlanta Journal-Constitution newspaper that the airline had a strong standalone plan and was not afraid to take the lonely path caused the speculation that the deal was ill-fated. President Ed Bastian even told the paper that the company would not do a deal unless it filled holes in the airlines network; otherwise, it would simply be a drain on resources and not worth the effort. Meanwhile, TheStreet reported that Delta has recently been looking elsewhere towards targets like Continental Airlines Inc. (NYSE: CAL). However, nothing has been confirmed and we’ll have to wait and see the truth behind the story.

A wave of bankruptcies and rising oil prices has led to much speculation of consolidation in the airline industry. After all, it has become increasingly difficult for airlines to eek out a profit with costs soaring and competition rising. Many believe that the only viable option is to merge with competition in order to expand routes and increase economies of scale. Larger airlines can purchase more materials in bulk and realize significant cost savings while also working to eliminate many employees that have overlapping jobs. However, failed mergers can be much worse than never having done anything at all. Consequently, it is very important to practice due diligence.

In the end, it will be interesting to see where these airlines end up over the next few months. For now, it remains likely that Delta will continue to pursue Northwest while other targets may include Continental. Regardless, the airline industry remains full of stocks that are definitely worth watching over the next few months!

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Delta Air Lines, Inc. (DAL)
Continental Airlines, Inc. (CAL)
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AirTran Holdings, Inc. (AAI)
Alaska Air Group, Inc. (ALK)
JetBlue Airways Corporation (JBLU)

Sun-Times Media Group, Inc. (NYSE: SVN) shares rose over 15 percent after the company announced that it has begun an evaluation of strategic alternatives to enhance shareholder value. Specifically, the troubled Chicago media company is seeking a joint venture or outright sale of the company. The news comes as no surprise to many as activist shareholders have been pushing the company towards a sale for some time. Shareholders are hoping that the move will help unlock value after more than an 80% decline in value.

“Sun-Times Media Group is very fortunate to have a solid portfolio of publications and websites that deliver the highest quality journalism to the communities we serve and great value to our advertisers. The steps that we’ve taken in the past year are designed to make sure that this is true today and will continue into the future. Our Board’s decision to explore strategic next steps now is the right thing to do to ensure the future of the Sun-Times Media Group publications and Web sites and to generate the highest value for our shareholders.” said Cyrus F. Freidheim, Jr., Sun-Times Media Group Chief Executive Officer.

Sun-Times Media was pushed towards a sale by many investors predominantly led by K Capital Management, which owns nearly 10% of the firm. The hedge fund believes that the company owns very attractive community newspapers but is too small to operate as an independent public company. That is, the costs of being a public company greatly outweighed the benefits in this case due to the firm’s small size. As a result, the assets have moe value to a buyer than they do as an independent company and a sale was the best option available.

Sun-Times began to cut costs two months ago in order to make itself more attractive to a buyer and succeeded in saving $50 million. The company’s strong portfolio of newspapers should make it attractive to an outside buyer, but many fear that the declining newspaper industry and tight credit market may preclude any super-favorable sale from taking place. After all, it would be difficult to find a financial buyer in today’s market that would buy a newspaper company. However, there are plenty of strategic buyers that may be interested and that’s what everyone is banking on.

In the end, it will be interesting to see if a transaction will take place. We should begin to at least see the level of interest over the next month as the company works to find and organize potential bidders. Combined, these factors make this company one that is definitely worth watching over the next few months!

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Journal Register Company (JRC)
Lee Enterprises, Inc. (LEE)

All eyes are on BHP Billiton Limited (NYSE: BHP) and Rio Tinto plc (NYSE: RTP) this week as a deadline for a mega-merger between the two quickly approaches. The UK Takeover Panel required that BHP submit a formal bid for Rio Tinto by February 6th or it will not be able to make any future bids for at least six months. The current offer is a 3-for-1 share deal that Rio Tinto rejected as bid that grossly undervalued their company. Many shareholders believe that the mega-merger may be stalled as the deadline quickly approaches.

BHP is a $190 billion company with mining interests all over the world. It specializes in petroleum, aluminum, base metals, stainless steel, iron ore, manganese, coal, and diamond and specialty products. Meanwhile, Rio Tinto is almost as large at $130 billion and it specializes in aluminum, copper, diamonds, energy products, gold, industrial minerals and iron ore. Combined, these two companies would corner 38% of the iron ore market, 6% of the copper market, and become the world’s largest coal supplier. As a result, many eyes are on this potential merger.

Interestingly, there may be others that are also interested in Rio Tinto. Alcoa and Aluminum Corporation of China announced the joint acquisition of 12% of the company just recently. The two described the acquisition as a “strategic stake” and reserved the right to make a bid for the company if a third party made a firm offer. Presumably, if BHP made an offer, then a bidding war may ensue for Rio Tinto, which is great news for its shareholders but potentially bad news for many others.

In the end, it will be interesting to see how this situation unfolds. BHP has its own earnings to deal with this week, but the February 6th deadline is quickly approaching and they may be forced to act if they want to make a serious attempt to buy Rio Tinto. Combined, these factors make this stock one that is definitely worth watching!

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Alcoa Inc. (AA)
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Rio Tinto Limited (RTP)