# Monday, February 25, 2008

TLCV Logo

TLC Vision Corporation (NDAQ: TLCV) woke up to an interesting note from the founder and former chief executive of its arch rival LCA-Vision Inc. (NDAQ: LCAV)- he purchased 5 percent of the company and wants to be CEO! Dr. Stephen Joffe blasted the company for the more than 60 percent drop in TLCV’s shares over the past year, which he called “a self-inflicted wound” and “a byproduct of bad decision-making by the board and management”. The LasikPlus founder then proposed joining the board as executive chairman or chief executive to implement strategic and business model changes for the troubled company. So, is this a development that makes this stock one worth watching for your portfolio?

Dr. Joffe was one of the founders of the laser vision correction industry and was reportedly already in talks about joining the company to implement his strategy and effect a turnaround to restore value in the troubled franchise. These talks ultimately fell through and now the large shareholder is just trying to protect his sizable investment from poor strategy and capital decisions being made by the company. For example, recent Dutch auctions offered unhappy shareholders securities worth roughly three times the price of shares trade at today. The board accomplished this with an enormous mountain of debt and interest costs that could eliminate profitability for many years ahead.

Dr. Joffe also makes several other arguments in his letter to the board. Here’s a complete copy:

Thank you for calling me back yesterday, I appreciate your time and your effort to explain away the more than 60 percent drop in TLC’s shares over the past year. Frankly that loss in value is a self-inflicted wound–a byproduct of bad decision-making by the board and management.

On top of the list of ill-conceived judgments is the board’s decision to buy off many of its critics with a disastrous Dutch auction that offered unhappy holders roughly three times the price the shares trade at today. To accomplish this, management and the board burdened the corporation with an enormous mountain of debt and interest costs that could sharply suppress, if not eliminate, profitability for many years to come.

TLC is part of an industry that is still in its infancy. As a matter of principle, I want to see TLC succeed and prosper because of the life-changing difference it can make in the lives of patients.

Yet we are already more than 40 days into calendar 2008, and I seriously question whether TLC has the right strategy, the right people, or the right business model to survive and succeed in the years ahead. I am not the only major shareholder who is deeply disturbed by these concerns.

Currently I am still a significant holder of TLC’s shares, but unlike other troubled shareholders, I understand the economics and challenges of the laser vision correction business from the standpoint of a manager and operator. I founded LCA-Vision, TLC’s largest competitor, and as chairman and CEO I was directly responsible for that company’s enormous success, until my departure in February 2006.

Right now, my intention is to protect my already sizeable investment in TLC. Before the board’s abrupt decision to initiate the disastrous Dutch auction, we were in serious discussions about my joining TLC to oversee the turnaround. Consider this letter a formal request to renew those discussions. I believe all shareholders stand to benefit from my extensive experience as one of the founders of the laser vision correction industry.

Please respond 5:00 pm (eastern) on Monday the 18th of February 2008, to discuss my joining the company as Executive Chairman or CEO to implement my strategic plan to turnaround and rebuild this formerly valuable franchise for the benefit of all shareholders. I am available to speak with you throughout the upcoming weekend and can be contacted via email at xxxxx or by cell phone on xxxxx or xxxxx.

While I would prefer not to take this effort public, your failure to move forward will force me to take whatever actions are necessary to protect my investment and ensure a timely turnaround of TLC’s business.

In the end, this is great news for TLCV shareholders as Mr. Joffe is an experienced executive that has a lot to offer. Clearly, his involvement with their main competitor will yield valuable information while his turnaround strategy likely will not harm the company any more than it has already harmed itself. Given the unrest of many existing shareholders, the likelihood of his election to the board in the event of a fight are also reasonable high. Combined, these factors make TLCV a stock worth watching over the next few months!

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TLC Vision Corporation (TLC)
LCA-Vision, Inc. (LCAV)
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Monday, February 25, 2008 6:45:44 PM UTC  #     |  Trackback

TTWO Logo

Take-Two Interactive Software, Inc. (NDAQ: TTWO) shares soared today after Electronic Arts Inc. (NDAQ: ERTS) offered to acquire the company for $26 per share, or about $1.9 billion, which is a 64 percent premium over the stock’s prior closing price. The video game maker rejected the offer, calling it a “highly opportunistic” attempt to take advantage of the upcoming release of Grand Theft Auto IV set for April 29th. The company said that it would resume buyout talks after the game’s release, but EA fired back that there can be no certainty in the future that any buyer would pay the same high premium being offered today. So, is this a stock worth watching for your portfolio or is the stock now grossly overpriced?

Activist hedge funds have been pushing Take-Two towards a sale for some time now amid poor financial results, accounting problems, and controversy surrounding violent and sexual content in the company’s games. These hedge funds, which own a combined 46% of the company, were successful in forcing the company to evaluate a sale last March but nothing came of it. Then, billionaire activist Carl Icahn joined the fight back in November - a great invesment in today’s terms! These activists now likely own more than 50% of the company and will definitely vote in the best interests of shareholders if a serious offer is made for the company. They will also take action if the company decides to ignore great bids.

The other key point within this story is that the $26 per share offer was the second one made by EA. The first $25 bid was rejected and never presented to shareholders for reasons unknown (maybe it wasn’t material enough?). This is important because it could mean two things: (1) There are other unannounced potential bidders for the company, and (2) there is a good possibility that the company could hold out for another sweetened offer. Often times, initial offers are low-balled at first to gauge interest and then built up until it meets investor demands. Clearly, EA is interested in Take-Two’s hit titles and it will be interesting to see how much they are willing to pay for them.

Hank Greenburg also points out another interesting point to this story. Electronic Arts sent a letter to Take-Two not long ago arguing that it faces ongoing financial, legal and operating issues and a very intense competitive environment. In fact, EA even said that it would be increasingly difficult for the company to create sustainable shareholder value while it remaisn exposed to considerable risk of value loss. Just recently, EA also commented that once GTA IV ships, Take-Two will again be dependent on less-popular titles and face increasing challenges to compete with larger and better-capitalized competitors. So, all of this begs the question of why they are interested in the company at all?

In the end, it will be interesting to see how activist shareholders respond to this rejected offer given their new found wealth. Investors can bet that they will take action if they believe that the offer represents a fair price in order to unlock value. This is why shares are currently trading above the $26 per share buyout price and why many are so bullish on the stock. Combined, these factors make TTWO a stock worth watching!

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Monday, February 25, 2008 5:32:46 PM UTC  #     |  Trackback

RED Logo

Reddy Ice Holding Corporation (NDAQ: FRZ) directors may be in for a fight after a large activist hedge fund has nominated its own slate of directors while quickly ramping up its stake in the company. The Shamrock Activist Value Fund announced its slate of candidates for the company’s board of director earlier this month while increasing its stake to more than 14.38 percent in recent days. Many investors are hoping that the activist hedge fund will take action to unlock value in the company, whose shares are trading well off of their 52-week highs and well below their intrinsic valuation. So, is Reddy Ice a stock worth watching for your portfolio given this activist involvement?

Reddy Ice announced at the end of January that its proposed acquisition by GSO Capital Partners had been cancelled due to the ongoing problems in the credit markets. Shamrock had called the $31.25 per share buyout price “grossly inadequate” and suggested a potential conflict of interest existing between the company executives, some board members, and the hedge fund. The company said it will continue to explore transactions with GSO and review other alternatives available to the company. It is unclear whether Shamrock’s attempt to takeover the board is an attempt to prevent a takeover or an attempt to sell the company to a higher bidder. However, shares continue to rise ahead of the anticipated proxy fight.

Reddy Ice is set to release its financial results on Wednesday, February 27th along with a conference call to discuss results. Many investors are expecting to see slightly lower results for the fourth quarter after the company guided lower three times since July of last year. Most recent estimates peg the full year revenues to be between $335 and $345 million and net income to be between $14.8 and $19.7 million or $0.66 to $0.90 per share. Adjusted EBITDA is seen to be between $85 and $90 million. Meanwhile, many analysts were expecting revenues of $351 million with net profit of $15.9 million and EBITDA of $86 million. It will be interesting to see how its actual results compare given the difficult market conditions.

In the end, this is all great news for Reddy Ice shareholders who stand nothing to lose and everything to gain from Shamrock’s involvement. If the hedge fund is able to install its own directors and conduct a real auction of the company, shareholders go see a substantially larger upside to this company. Obviously, there is value to be realized from this point given GSO’s valuation of $1.1 billion while the company is currently priced at just $541 million with no material change. Combined, these factors make FRZ a stock worth watching closely over the next few months!

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Monday, February 25, 2008 4:42:21 PM UTC  #     |  Trackback