# Wednesday, February 27, 2008

The Brink’s Company (NYSE: BCO) shares rose 1.4 percent today after the security company announced that it would spin off its home security unit in order to appease a growing number of dissident shareholders. The news comes after enormous pressure from activist shareholders Pirate Capital and MMI Investments, both of whom planned proxy contests to overtake the board if changes were not implemented. The company has finally agreed with the activists after completing a review of its strategic options with the help of the Monitor Group and Morgan Stanley. The Brink’s Home Security unit is one of the largest and most successful residential alarm companies in North America and the spin-off should unlock substantial value for shareholders who have been struggling to realize value in their investment.

“Today’s announcement, which is the culmination of a comprehensive and thorough review of the strategic options available to the company, further demonstrates the board’s commitment to enhancing shareholder value,” said Michael T. Dan, chairman, president and chief executive officer of The Brink’s Company. “Both BHS and Brink’s, Inc. are market leaders that outperform their respective peers on almost every operating metric. As separate publicly traded entities, each company should benefit from enhanced management focus, more efficient capitalization and increased financial transparency. In addition, shareholders will have a more targeted investment opportunity, and incentives for management and employees will be more closely aligned with company performance and shareholder interests. Given these advantages, we are confident that this transaction will enable BHS and Brink’s, Inc. to more quickly realize the valuations they deserve. I commend the employees of both BHS and Brink’s, Inc. for their hard work and dedication in building these two great businesses. I am confident that both companies will continue to create value for their shareholders, employees and customers.”

The spin-off will convert Brink’s into two separate publicly traded companies:

  1. The Brink’s Company includes the businesses of Brink’s Inc., the world’s premier provider of secure transportation and cash management services. The company has approximately 54,000 employees at operations in more than 50 countries, had 2007 revenues of approximately $2.7 billion and operating profit of $223.3 million.
  2. BHS, which has approximately 3,600 employees, is one of the largest and most successful residential alarm companies in North America. In 2007, BHS had revenues of approximately $484 million and operating profits totaling $114.2 million. BHS operates in all 50 states, the D.C. and several markets in two western providences in Canada. BHS’s ability to provide an outstanding customer service experience as awarded by J.D. Power and Associates, has created a loyal customer base that includes approximately 1.2 million systems under monitoring contracts. Through its dedication to high quality customer service, BHS maintains one of the highest subscriber retention rates among major residential alarm companies.

Brink’s also reached an agreement with activist hedge fund MMI Investments whereby one of their nominees will be supported as a director at the 2008 annual meeting while another director of theirs will be nominated at BHS following the spin-off. In return, MMI has agreed to withdraw its request to nominate any directors at the next annual meeting. Combined, these events represent yet another victory under the belt of activists and should result in substantial value creation for shareholders that many estimate as high as 40% to 50% premium. These factors make BCO a stock that is definitely worth following over the next few months!

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Wednesday, February 27, 2008 9:12:28 PM UTC  #     |  Trackback

Oracle Corp. (NASDAQ: ORCL) said today that the U.S. Department of Justice and Federal Trade Commission approved early termination of the Hart-Scott-Rodino review period for its acquisition of BEA Systems Inc (NASDAQ: BEAS). Early termination means the Justice Department completed the review in advance of the 30-day maximum period allowed under antitrust law.

BEA has a special meeting of its stockholders planned for April 4 in order to vote on the merger. Though getting U.S. regulatory approval clears a major hurdle, the transaction still requires BEA stockholder approval and European Union regulatory permission.

Oracle said it agreed to buy BEA for $19.375 per share in January after earlier offers from Oracle were spurned for being too low, such as last year's $17 per share offer that valued the company at $6.7 billion. The current offer is worth approximately $8.5 billion.

The real question is, will the deal actually add value for Oracle now that it will probably be completed? Oracle said it expects only expects BEA to add one to two cents per share to adjusted earnings in the first year after the deal closes. Oracle has been on a spending spree in the last few years with CEO Larry Ellison spending more than $25 billion buying competitors like PeopleSoft, Siebel Systems and Hyperion Solutions.

Despite these purchases, Oracle has seen mediocre performance, especially in the last twelve-months. Combine this with Ellison's continued divestment from the company - 1 million shares just last month - and Oracle is definitely a hold, not a buy, right now.

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Wednesday, February 27, 2008 8:17:29 PM UTC  #     |  Trackback

Yahoo! Inc.’s (NDAQ: YHOO) recent attempts to convince shareholders that Microsoft Corporation’s (NDAQ: MSFT) bid significantly undervalues the company have yielded very little. However, some people (1, 2) are now beginning to question why they haven’t mentioned a big piece of the puzzle - Yahoo’s stake in Asia. Yahoo’s stake in Yahoo Japan and China’s Alibaba alone are valued at around $11 billion by most analysts. Meanwhile, many others peg the true value much higher given the enormous growth potential in these markets. The search company’s dominance in these markets is well ahead of Microsoft and Google Inc. (NDAQ: GOOG) and could be a good argument for a buyout price higher than $50 billion.

Yahoo’s stake in Alibaba, which stands at around 39 percent, paid huge dividends after being acquired for $1.7 billion in August of 2005. Since then, the company has IPO’d and dramatically grew in market value while also continuing to grow its revenues at a break-neck pace. Interestingly, Alibaba is also concerned about the Microsoft acquisition, saying that it has a “reputation of using monopolistic tactics”. Foreign control of large companies is also a politically sensitive issue for Beijing, which has forced many prospective buyers to cut their stakes or sipmly delay the application process indefinitely.

Yahoo’s stake in Alibaba combined with its 34% of Yahoo Japan represent strategic high-growth investments that are just now starting to pay dividends. The U.S. markets are beginning to slow in online advertising and these Asian markets may by the key to driving future growth. The search company’s substantial investment in this area may only be worth $11 billion now, but it could very well be worth much more in the future as growth picks up. Many are now calling for Yahoo to work these numbers along with their existing calculations in order to come up with a clearly derived $40 per share valuation that they can take to Microsoft and use to negotiate a higher price.

In the end, Yahoo will probably end up being acquired by Microsoft. Management has had many opportunities to turn around the company and it would take a substantial amount of time to reach the $50 billion valuation that Microsoft has offered to pay. So, it is now up to the board to convince shareholders that they deserve a higher price. Whether or not they can do this remains to be seen, but many are now saying that they should attempt to place a higher value on their Asian stakes. Combined, these factors make YHOO a stock worth watching over the next few months!

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Wednesday, February 27, 2008 7:03:13 PM UTC  #     |  Trackback