For a few weeks, Ford Motor Co. (NYSE: F) seemed to be on a roll. First, it was announced that a study found new Ford vehicles in a statistical tie with Honda Motor Co. (NYSE: HMC) vehicles for best in initial quality.

Then, Ford announced a shocking first quarter profit of $100 million compared to a loss of $282 million for the same period last year. CEO Alan Mulally’s turnaround plan for the company - heavy cost reductions, such as cutting expensive North American jobs, combined with new vehicle models - was hailed as a success by many, including billionaire Kirk Kerkorian who announced he had amassed a 4.7% stake in the company.

The sum of these announcements led to a very good two weeks for Ford stock, but many investors seemed to be forgetting the harsh big picture: in a slowing economy with record-high fuel price, Ford continues to rely on expensive trucks and SUVs for its profits. Not only that, but the economical models it does have are still considered far inferior in long-term quality to Japanese automakers' Honda and Toyota Motor Corp. (NYSE: TM), which contributes to the continued erosion of Ford's U.S. market share.

Well, Thursday Ford share got a dose of reality when it was announced that light truck sales fell 18.1% in April compared to last year. Unfortunately for Ford, there is no reason to predict this trend ending any time soon.

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Morningstar, Inc. (NDAQ: MORN) shares surged higher after the company announced a sharp increase in first quarter profits. The investment research firm reported a 32 percent jump in profits, which beat analyst expectations by a wide margin. Net income increased to $23.1 million, or 47 cents per share, on revenues of $125.4 million. At least one analyst also raised its price target for the stock to $72 per share, which represents a 21% premium.

"We’re pleased with our results during the quarter,” said Joe Mansueto, chairman and chief executive officer of Morningstar. "We continued to generate healthy organic revenue growth, driven by strong gains in both Investment Consulting and Licensed Data. Assets under advisement for Investment Consulting grew 36% compared with the first quarter of 2007.

"We faced a headwind as the market declined, though, resulting in slightly lower asset levels in the first quarter of 2008 compared with the fourth quarter of 2007. We’ve also seen signs of belt-tightening among some of our clients, but it has not been widespread.

“Our operating margin increased by about 2 percentage points compared with the first quarter of 2007, and we continue to see opportunities across all segments of our business. We have a strong balance sheet and ended the quarter with more than $215 million in cash and investments and no debt, after paying annual bonuses and completing our acquisition of Hemscott’s data, media, and investor relations Web site businesses.

"With the addition of Hemscott, we’re creating a world-class global equity database and expanding our international operations. We’ve moved quickly to integrate Hemscott’s sizable data processing center in India into Morningstar, which is already benefiting our operations. The fund data business we acquired from S&P last year also contributed to revenue growth during the quarter. As a result of these acquisitions, as well as continued organic growth, our international operations now account for about one-fourth of our revenue."

Morningstar is a provider of independent investment research to investors worldwide. The company offers a line of Internet, software and print-based products for individual investors, financial advisors and institutional clients. It also provides asset management services for advisors, institutions and retirement plan participants.

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Exxon Mobile Corporation (NYSE: XOM) may have reported near-record earnings yet again, but huge numbers aren't good enough when expectations are high. The oil giant reported near-record profits of $10.89 billion on revenues of $116.8 billion, but shares dropped more than four percent before recovering slightly on the day. Many investors remain bullish on the energy markets, but this short-term blip has certainly sent a shockwave.

The big problem was with crude inventories that came in much higher than expected. This is bad news for oil producers like Exxon Mobile since a higher supplier typically means a lower price assuming that demand remains consistent. Meanwhile, a Nigerian strike that has kept oil prices at a high is coming closer to a resolution. This should help boost Exxon's oil output, but will likely lead to even higher crude supply.

The dollar also rallied today after bullish comments emerged from the Federal Reserve meeting that took place yesterday. Since oil is a dollar-priced commodity, the move had an adverse affect on crude prices. After all, an increase in purchasing power for the dollar means that more oil can be bought for the same dollar price. This means that the price of oil must drop in order to remain in equilibrium with the dollar's value.

In the end, these three factors combined with supply problems for Exxon Mobile led to a decline not only in this oil giant but also many other players in the sector. While this may only be a short-term blip, investors should be wary of an improving dollar and supply issues going forward. After all, the sharp rise in oil prices is only due to a small number of factors that could quickly change and slow down the dramatic growth!

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Amkor Technology, Inc. (NDAQ: AMKR) added more than 20% to its shares midday Thursday after releasing impressive first quarter results. The Arizona-based semiconductor assembly company had net income more than double to $72 million, or 36 cents per share, from $34.6 million, or 18 cents per share, a year earlier.

These results handily beat Wall Street earning expectations of 26 cents per share - though Amkor sales missed expectations by about $1 million, coming in at $699.5 million. The strong earnings were a result of increased wireless sales and favorably currency exchange rates.

“We exceeded our sales and profitability targets for the first quarter due to select customer demand in certain wireless communications and networking applications, which partially offset the overall seasonal slowing that we had expected. Our first quarter net income included an approximately $9.5 million foreign currency gain principally due to the depreciation of the Korean won and the resulting remeasurement of our Korean employee benefit plan liability," sand CEO and Chairman James Kim.

The company also made strides by repaying over $100 million of debt in the first quarter - though the company still carries more than $1.6 billion of debt, this and previous pay-downs lowered interest expenses by 21% from a year earlier. Amkor expects net income for the second quarter of the year to be 32 cents to 36 cents per share.

Even with Thursday's gains, Amkor shares are significantly lower than their 52 week high of over $16 per share. As of publication, shares were up 21.62% to $11.61 per share.

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Time Warner Inc. (NYSE: TWX) finally announced that it will separate its majority-owned cable division after months of speculation. The media giant offered few details of how it would structure the transaction, but said that a complete separation of the 84% stake is in the best interest of both companies' shareholders. The announcement also comes at a time when Time Warner is struggling to revive its AOL unit and lift the margins on its film and television businesses.

Investors should watch this situation carefully as it could mean opportunity for profit. A transaction structured as a spin off could mean huge value creation for shareholders of Time Warner Cable (NYSE: TWC), but only after a few months. The theory is that most TWX shareholders that receive TWC stock in a spin off situation will sell it, which will put substantial downside pressure on TWC despite no change in fundamentals.

The selling pressure would drop the share price and reduce Time Warner Cable's earnings multiple. This undervaluation could persist for some time, but will likely be corrected when the next earnings announcement is made and analysts recalculate where the shares should be at historic multiples. These analysts will then likely upgrade the stock and recommend that investors pick up more shares to take advantage of the undervaluation.

Many investors are also closely watching the parent Time Warner in the event of a sale of its stake. This would generate substantial proceeds for the parent company that it could use to fund a share buyback program or boost dividends to unlock value. Share buybacks reduce the number of outstanding shares and therefore increase the earnings per share number and eventually the earnings multiple. Meanwhile, boosting dividends also typically leads to a higher valuation due to common investment models put in place to value companies.

In the end, there are many different routes that Time Warner could take to get rid of its stake and all of them are worth watching. Instances like these often provide investors with the ability to profit handsomely!

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Auto-part maker Lear Corp. (NYSE: LEA) is up more than 20% after announcing surprising first quarter results. The Michigan-based company defied the weak economy by posting a 57% increase in profit from a year earlier while reaffirming its full-year earnings outlook.

Not ignoring the slow U.S. automarket, Lear Chariman, CEO and President Bob Rossiter said, ""Although we are facing significant challenges in North America, Lear's underlying operating fundamentals remain strong."

The world's largest automotive seat maker reported profits of 64 cents per share compared to expected earnings of only 48 cents per share. Though revenue fell, it still managed to beat expectations.

Most importantly, Lear raised its 2008 revenue projections from $15 billion to $15.5 billion - showing that the company can persevere through a possible vehicle sales downturn. The optimistic first quarter report led to a slew of analyst upgrades of the company's stock to "buy" and "outperform." For the time being, it seems like Lear is immune to the bigger problems facing the U.S. automotive sector.

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BP (NYSE: BP) and Royal Dutch Shell (NYSE: RDS) posted record earnings once again after rising oil prices bolstered profits at the two large gas companies. BP reported a 63% jump in its first quarter net income while Shell announced a 25% increase in its profits. Both companies attributed the better-than-expected profits to higher oil prices that beat expectations across the board. And the news only gets better as oil continues to head higher.

Companies like BP and Shell make money by selling gasoline and crude oil to consumers and companies. Since their profit margins remain the same as a percentage of sales, their net income has increased along with the higher dollar volume spent at the pump. For example, assuming the company makes 20% profit on its sales, a consumer will pay $0.20 for $1/gallon prices but $1 for $5/gallon prices. As you can see, the sharp rise in gas prices sparked a sharp rise in net income.

Oil prices set a new record $119.93 in New York yesterday before profit-taking ensued today. These prices have remained pressured amid an uptick in militant attacks in Nigeria, however. The Movement for the Emancipation of the Niger Delta has stepped up its attacks on pipelines recently in an attempt to reduce the nation's crude exports. However, overall output came in higher-than-expected at 3.52 million barrels a day compared to analyst estimates of 3.37 million per day. This news sent oil prices lower on the day, but prices are still expected to remain high.

ConocoPhilips and Cheveron are also expected to report better earnings this quarter on May 1st and 2nd, respectively.

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Billionaire activist investor Kirk Kerkorian is making waves Monday by announcing that his Tracinda Corp. not only has amassed 100 million shares of Ford Motor Company (NYSE: F), but that he is making an additional offer of $8.50 per share for another 20 million shares.

Worth more than $18 billion largely from plays in Las Vegas, Kerkorian nonetheless has a history of entangling himself with other Detroit automakers like General Motors Corp. (NYSE: GM) and Chrysler. This announcement is a signal that he has faith in the turnaround efforts of Ford CEO Alan Mulally.

With the purchase of an additional 20 million shares, Kerkorian would have more than a 5% stake in Ford, a company still dominated by family interests. Despite going public in 1956, the descendants of Henry Ford still control 40% of the voting rights in the company - and given their track record, this almost definitively rules out and acquisition. This is important because such a rapid accumulation of shares by an outsider is often a build-up to a take-over attempt.

Kerkorian's logic in building such a large stake in Ford remain somewhat mysterious. Though the company reported a surprising first quarter profit, it still expects to lose money overall in 2008. Ford's truck and SUV-dependent lineup continue to be a huge liability with record gas prices.

According to a release Kerkorian, though his company, said "Tracinda has been following Ford closely since the company released its fourth quarter 2007 results which indicated that Ford’s management was starting to achieve highly meaningful traction in its turnaround efforts. Last week this was reinforced by Ford's first quarter 2008 results, achieved despite the difficult U.S. economic environment. Tracinda believes that Ford management under the leadership of Chief Executive Officer Alan Mulally will continue to show significant improvements in its results going forward."

Whether Kerkorian proves to be right, only time will tell, but for now Ford faces an uphill battle.

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RadioShack Corporation (NYSE: RSH) shares fell more than ten percent on the day after the company posted a sharp drop in first quarter earnings. The electronics retailer reported that its profits fell 9 percent, hurt by weak results from its Sprint wireless partnership. Meanwhile, sales fell four percent but managed to come in ahead of expectations.

"We are pleased with the overall outcome for the first quarter of 2008, especially in light of the difficult economic environment. After a very challenging month of January, our sales and earnings trends improved significantly during February and March, resulting in an average comp store sales decrease of 1.2% for the two months," said Julian Day, Chairman and Chief Executive Officer.

The real driver that brought the stock down were bearish comments made by analysts. They noted that the company's lack of a sales pullback was impressive, but it came at a cost. Operating margins missed forecasts and declined for the first time in six quarters. Meanwhile, inventory growth outpaced cost-of-goods sold growth for the first time in eight quarters.

RadioShack has been working to effect a turnaround in recent months, having closed some 500 stores and trimmed other expenses. Analysts noted that these changes have resulted in better stores, but the items in these stories still suffer from lower gross margins and could prove to be a barrier to gross profit dollar growth.

In the end, RadioShack may not seem to be affected by the recession given its better-than-expected sales and earnings, but a quick look beneath the hood unveils continued problems with operating margins that are only exacerbated by issues with its Sprint partnership. Combined, these factors led to today's drop in shares.

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ExpressJet Holdings Inc. (NYSE: XJT) today announced that it unanimously rejected an all-cash offer by SkyWest Inc. (NASDAQ: SKYW) to acquire the company for $3.50 per share.

ExpressJet said it believes SkyWest's $3.50 per share offer substantially undervalues the company's true value and outlook. "The initial SkyWest offer is inadequate and represents an opportunistic attempt by SkyWest to acquire the company at a price well below the true value that ExpressJet would bring to a combination," ExpressJet said in a statement.

With the difficulty across airline companies reflected in their current trading price - Skywest is trading near its 52 week low and ExpressJet was hovering around its 52 week low prior to this announcement - consolidation has become an attractive option based not only on valuations but long-term survival.

SkyWest's offer represents almost a 70% percent premium over ExpressJet's Thursday closing price of $2.09 per share and values the company at nearly $182 million. SkyWest CEO Jerry C. Atkin said in a letter to ExpressJet that the offer represented a "full and fair price" for the company.

Atkin wrote, "We believe that our proposal would be in the best interests of ExpressJet and its stockholders, particularly given the uncertainty in the airline sector, the high price of oil and, as outlined in your public filings, the risks of your business related to your relationship with Continental."

The risks of ExpressJet's relationship with Continental Airlines (NYSE: CAL) stem from ExpressJet mainly operating regional flights as a contractor for the company rather than having its own routes and name recognition. In other words, the company is largely at Continental's mercy right now.

ExpressJet is going to start a review of its options, but in this climate the reality is SkyWest's offer may be as good as it gets for a small, regional carrier like ExpressJet.

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