Krispy Kreme Doughnuts (NYSE: KKD) has been beaten up since its heyday and remains 75% off of its 52-week high. However, the troubled company reported strong earnings on Monday that sent its shares substantially higher and gave investors renewed hope for the future. The question is: Is this a real recovery or just a temporary blip on the radar screen before more declines hit the stock?
Krispy Kreme shares spiked nearly 8% yesterday after the company announced first quarter earnings of 6 cents per share compared to a loss of 12 cents per share during the same quarter last year. However,revenue for the first quarter fell 6.6% to $103.6 million, which is down from $110.9 million a year earlier. The decrease was due to a 10.3% drop in company stores revenues and a 2% drop in supply chain sales.
The increase in earnings is only due to a large write-down last year due to the refinancing on some debt. As a result, shareholders should not take this as any kind of major improvement in cost savings or other measures. Rather, the decline in revenues makes its quite clear that the company continues to face significant problems ahead that may erode shareholder value.
Krispy Kreme continues to feel the pressure from the industry slowdown. The chain opened 28 new stores during the first quarter while seven franchises closed. The company said it expects more franchises to close in the future and "the number of such closures may be significant". However, investors again shrugged off these comments and sent the stock higher after the announcement.
The chain also warned against the effects of higher raw material costs. The jump in food prices has led to a sharp increase in costs that the company may have trouble passing on to its consumers without hurting revenues. The result could be further margin pressures that could adversely effect shareholder value. In the end, it could be another couple of quarters before investors see any real signs of improvement for this company.
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