MBIA Inc. (NYSE: MBI) shares are trading higher on the day in a continued recovery from its recent lows as some investors are beginning to find themselves bullish on the bond insurer. This sentiment is apparent in the price of the July $5 options, which are trading at a high $0.75 per contract. The price implies that some investors are betting that MBIA will rise above $5.75 during the next 23 days before the July options expiration.

Investors who are neutral to bullish may be interested in purchasing a covered call on MBIA to take advantage of this premium. The return on investment for this position would be approximately 15.31% for a 23-day period assuming that the stock doesn't plummet below $4.90 during that time.

Shares of MBIA have plummeted in recent weeks after an analyst from UBS noted that the company could face an additional $6.8 billion to $7.5 billion in losses on its mortgage-backed securities and structured finance portfolio. Brian Meredith noted that these calculations were based on UBS' mortgage research team's cumulative mortgage-securities and credit loss expectations.

Recently, MBIA's credit rating was cut to "AA" from "AAA", which means that the insurer may face difficulty generating new business. After all, who is going to insure their bonds with someone who has a less than perfect credit rating.

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Dow Chemical Company (NYSE: DOW) has raised its prices once again in an effort to counteract rising commodity prices. The move represents the second price hike this month alone while the company also noted that it would trim its capacity for several products and add on new freight surcharges to certain orders.

The move also underscores the problem the Federal Reserve faces as it modifies its interest rate policy to address the rising threat of inflation amid weak economic growth. The Fed has already aggressively cut rates from last September through April, but the result has been a dramatic decline in the value of the dollar.

Dow Chemical also noted that things weren't going to improve anytime soon. The company said it will raise prices as much as 25% starting on July 1st, which would come on top of the up to 20% increase that took effect June 1st and led several others to make similar price adjustments of their own.

The company made its first dramatic move back in December when it announced that it would cut 1,000 jobs and shut a number of underperforming plants in order to put the savings to work in higher-growth opportunities. It also unveiled a joint venture with Kuwait Petroleum, which allowed it to sell a big piece of its less profitable assets by selling a 50% stake for $9.5B.

It appears that for the next few months, consumer prices will continue to rise unless the Fed takes action.

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CME Group Inc. (NYSE: CME) announced plans today for a share buyback and special dividend that effectively sweetens its bid for Nymex Holdings Inc. (NYSE: NMX). The world's largest futures exachange said it would institute a $1.1 billion buyback plan over the next 18 months and pay a $5 per share cash dividend if its bid for the energy and metals exchange succeeds.

The proposed acquisition hit some snags due to a slump in CME Group's share price, which has lowered the takeover price by as much as $3 billion to just $8 billion. The buyback and dividend tactic worked wonders the last time CME Group used it during its acquisition of rival Chicago Board of Trade last year. After all, they are great for shareholders!

The original deal calls for Nymex shareholders to receive $36 and 0.1323 shares of CME for each NMX share. The proposed dividend would raise the purchase price for Nymex stock to $97.11 per share, which represents a $9.27 billion overall valuation. However, some investors are still concerned that the deal may fall through.

Many believe that the CME Group may be forced to tweak the cash portion of the deal slightly higher in order to sway the remaining opposition. This is the cause behind the recent rally in the differential between Nymex and CME Group shares that arbitrageurs have been trading for some time now.

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