Tuesday, July 22, 2008
Just when many thought the banking sector was improving, Wachovia Corporation (NYSE: WB) reported a huge second quarter loss. The financial services company reported a loss of $8.66 billion with a shocking $6.1 billion in writedowns. This compares to a net income of $2.34 billion a year earlier. Shares recovered on the day, but the news remains bearish for the sector.

Even the Chairman shared the disappointment: "These bottom-line results are disappointing and unacceptable," said Chairman Lanty L. Smith. "While to some degree they reflect industry headwinds and weaker macroeconomic conditions, they also reflect performance for which we at Wachovia accept responsibility."

Wachovia also cut its dividend again by 87% in an attempt to conserve about $700 million in capital. Clearly, this was a decision that had to be made in order to help the company stay alive over the long-term. The bank is also fresh off issuing some $8.3 billion in cpaital through preferred stock and other securities.

Finally, Wachovia has hired Goldman Sachs to help it analyze and value the billions of dollars in loans sitting on its balance sheets. Once it has a true idea of the valuation, shareholders will be able to better evaluate the company. Until then, Wachovia remains somewhat of an enigma.

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JPMorgan Chase & Co (JPM)
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Washington Mutual (WM)

7/22/2008 6:25:43 PM UTC  #    Comments [0]  |  Trackback
 Monday, July 21, 2008
Yahoo Inc. (NDAQ: YHOO) decided to play it safe and settle with activist investor Carl Icahn. The search giant agreed to provide the billionaire investor with three board seats, which will give it some say but no power. The settlement is the latest in the sage over Microsoft's attempt to take over the company. Interestingly, Icahn expressed his belief that a sale of the company merits "full consideration".

Icahn said in a statement he's pleased with the settlement. "While I continue to believe that the sale of the whole company or the sale of its Search business in the right transaction must be given full consideration, I share the view that Yahoo's valuable collection of assets positions it well to continue expanding its online leadership and enhancing returns to stockholders."

The news of the concession by Yahoo management comes just days after the same management sent a letter to shareholders calling Microsoft's actions "stupifying" and criticizing Carl Icahn for his lack of knowledge of the internet business. However, the move is still seen as a victory for Yahoo. Icahn now has limited voting power while Yahoo management remains in place. So, why did Icahn accept the deal? Many believe that he thought he would end up losing if he went through with the proxy contest.

Perhaps the largest catalyst behind this settlement was Legg Mason's statement that it would back the Yahoo board and urged the two sides to settle their dispute before conducting an actual proxy contest. Carl Icahn owns a 5 percent stake in Yahoo and has been pushing for the company to pursue an acquisition by Microsoft. Eight of Yahoo's directors will now stand for re-election to an expanded 11 member board, including CEO Jerry Yang.

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Google Inc. (GOOG)
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CBS Corporation (CBS)
News Corporation (NWS)
eBay Inc. (EBAY)
Sohu.com Inc. (SOHU)

7/21/2008 5:27:03 PM UTC  #    Comments [0]  |  Trackback
 Thursday, July 17, 2008
BlackRock Inc. (NYSE: BLK), the largest publicly traded asset manager, said its second quarter earnings topped estimates as $24.2 billion in new cash flowed into the firm. Net income rose 23 percent as deposits increased the funds under management to $1.43 trillion. Profit was $2.14 per share, which beat the $1.97 per share analysts were predicting.

Investors have moved into BlackRock as its funds have sidestepped the worst of the subprime mortgage collapse and financial sector deterioration. Competitors like Legg Mason were hit with $19 billion of redemptions in the first quarter alone and forced to provide $2.15 billion of its own funds to offset losses tied to mortgage-backed securities.

BlackRock also confirmed that Merrill Lynch & Co (MER) - its largest shareholder - shelved plans to sell its 49 percent stake in order to boost its capital. This is good news for shareholders since it means there won't be a large selling pressure that many were expecting to see.

BlackRock itself is one of the only firms that is able to take advantage of the dislocation in the fixed-income market while it was able to raise $16.7 billion in additional funds. The company also garnered $43.6 billion in advisory assets as investors sought advice on distressed portfolios. Meanwhile, the Federal Reserve picked them to oversee $30 billion in Bear Stearns investments after it was acquired by JP Morgan.

All in all, those looking for a good financial play may want to take a look at BlackRock as it remains a very solid play.

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AllianceBernstein Holding (AB)
7/17/2008 4:18:46 PM UTC  #    Comments [0]  |  Trackback
 Wednesday, July 16, 2008
Eaton Vance Insured Florida Municipal Bond Fund (AMEX: EIF) shares rose marginally this week after the board recently announced its intentions to merger EIF into the Eaton Vance Insured Municipal Bond Fund (AMEX: EIM) at a special meeting of shareholders to be held in October.

The closed-end fund was facing some shareholder concerns that its valuation was being hurt through concentrated geographical risk that was unnecessary to endure. Karpus Management, which owns around 14% of the fund, had been a vocal advocate of such a merger in order to unlock value in the fund. In fact, the activist withdrew its hostile intentions and complimented the fund in its most recent Schedule 13D filing with the SEC.

"We would like to commend the Board for its recently announced recommendation to EIF shareholders to merge EIF into the Eaton Vance Insured Municipal Bond Fund ('EIM') at a special meeting of shareholders to be held in October," said Sharon Thomton of Karpus. "Consequently, we wish to withdraw our termination proposal, director nominees and shareholder list request, which were submitted to EIF on April 17, 2008 and April 24, 2008."

However, Karpus did bring up the fact that a related closed-end fund owned by the same group is facing similar problems:

"Given the Board's recently announced action, we also believe that the Board must also address similar circumstances facing shareholders of FEV. In fact, a press release issued by FEV on December 12, 2007 and reiterated again on June 19, 2008 indicated: '... the Board of Trustees of FEV may in the future consider other actions, potentially including a merger of FEV into a similar closed-end Eaton Vance national municipal bond fund.' Without further action by the Board, shareholders of FEV continue to bear concentrated geographical risk without any additional benefit for doing so."

Both of these funds could represent strong buying opportunities for those investors looking to jump on board an activist campaign. The success in EIF will become apparent when the fund is absorbed by the parent and value is unlocked in the fund's shares. A similar story may emerge in FEV, which makes that stock one worth watching closely!

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Eaton Vance Enhanced Equity Incm. Fd. II (EOS)
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7/16/2008 4:01:30 PM UTC  #    Comments [0]  |  Trackback
 Tuesday, July 15, 2008
Insiders know a lot about the companies they work for, so watching their actions can help bank some serious profits. These transactions can be monitored by the public through forms 3, 4, and 5 filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC). Here are the top 5 insider buys from last week, which can be useful when creating a watchlist of stocks with a potential catalyst for this week:
  1. Lamar Advertising Company (LAMR) - 10% owner Edward McDermott purchase a substantial block of shares valued at over $20 million.
  2. Stericycle Inc. (SRCL) - The company's chairman and director each purchased substantial blocks of shares valued at over $10 million.
  3. Orbitz Worldwide, Inc. (OWW) - Par Capital Management Inc. purchased over $12 million in new shares.
  4. Saks Inc. (SKS) - Inmobiliaria Carso purchased over a million shares for nearly $10 million.
  5. Hearst Argyle Television Inc. (HTV) - Hearst Family Trust purchased nearly a half million shares in a transaction worth some nearly $10 million.

7/15/2008 6:04:23 PM UTC  #    Comments [0]  |  Trackback
 Monday, July 14, 2008
Cardiome Pharma Corp. (NDAQ: CRME) shares moved sharply higher today after the company announced positive phase IIb results for its oral Vernakalant drug. The experimental drug reduced the rate of abnormal heart rhythms in patients with recurrent atrial fibrilation - a condition in which the heart's top two chambers quiver instead of beating regularly, thereby reducing the heart's ability to pump blood efficiently.

Cardiome said it would move forwards with phase III study and seek a development partner or strategic buyer for the entire company. Investors clearly applauded the move since the likelihood of a strategic buyer is substantially higher with every development milestone that they pass. These latest results demonstrated that the dosing group significantly reduced the rate of arrial fibrillation relapse as compared to the placebo group.

"We are delighted to report clearly positive clinical results from our vernakalant (oral) program, which continue to support our belief in the exciting potential of vernakalant as a therapy for atrial fibrillation," said Bob Rieder, Chairman and Chief Executive Officer of Cardiome. "With 949 patients and subjects exposed to vernakalant (oral) in this development program, we now have an extensive safety and efficacy dataset to guide us as we move this exciting clinical program forward and finalize our strategic discussions with interested parties."

Shares of Cardiome Pharma rose 27.46% to $10.63 on the news today.

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7/14/2008 3:26:20 PM UTC  #    Comments [0]  |  Trackback
 Friday, July 11, 2008
Freddie Mac (NYSE: FRE) and Fannie Mae (NYSE: FNM) shares are finding themselves under increased pressure as concerns about liquidity continue to mount. Many regulators are now calling for government intervention in order to save the government-subsidized entities and preserve the struggling housing market from a larger collapse. Unfortunately for shareholders, federal bailouts are only aimed at saving the company and not necessarily its shareholders.

A government takeover of both organizations is among several options being weighed by the Bush Administration. Officials may push for the firms, which own or guarantee almost half of the $12 trillion in home loans in the United States. Such a government takeover is likely to make the common stock of each company worthless, since paying off shareholders with taxpayer dollars may present a problem to perhaps everyone in the USA (minus those shareholders).

Fannie Mae has lost about 80 percent of its value during the past year while Freddie Mac has tumbled more than 85 percent during the same time. The reason is simply because many of these loans are going bad and requiring the companies to come up with capital that they are unable to raise. The government is expected to wait until these losses hit some $77 billion before it would be compelled to start a rescue.

Others insist that a government bailout would be unlikely because the two institutions have some $1.5 trillion in un-pledged assets and access to the debt market. Some insist that Fannie Mae would have to lose $40 billion immediately and Freddie Mac would have to lose $37 billion immediately in order to be considered insolvent. Housing prices would have to decline 40% nationally and delinquencies would have to rise as much as 10 fold to 12 percent to reach critical levels, according to these analysts.

In the end, there is still a lot of uncertainty as to whether or not the two housing market giants are in trouble. If they are, however, it is clear that shareholders will likely lose out in the event of a bailout. The only people that can hope to get their money back would be bond holders.

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7/11/2008 3:26:03 PM UTC  #    Comments [0]  |  Trackback
 Thursday, July 10, 2008
Rohm and Haas Company (NYSE: ROH) shares surged over 65 percent today after rival Dow Chemical (NYSE: DOW) agreed to purchase the company for $15.3 billion. The $78 per share takeover deal includes funds from a Kuwaiti sovereign wealth fund and Warren Buffett's own Berkshire Hathaway. The 74 percent premium may seen hefty to some shareholders, but Dow Chemical executives insist that the strong brands and technologies make the premium worth paying.

The acquisition represents Dow Chemicals' efforts to expand higher-margin specialty chemical markets, which can help protect it from the ups and downs of basic chemical sales. Recently, the company has been struggling with the performance of its basic businesses due to increases in raw material costs that it has tried to pass on to consumers. This deal will make Dow the largest specialty chemical and advanced materials company in the world.

So, just how much will this magic deal help Dow in the future? Well, some analysts are expecting a big boost. Before the deal, analysts have been expecting Dow to earn around $3.50 per share in 2010 and 2011 during the industry trough, but now they are expecting around $4.50 per share. Meanwhile, in 2015 when dow forecasts the peak, EPS is expected to exceed $10 per share. Meanwhile, Dow expects to realize pretax annual cost synergies of at least $800 million per year.

In the end, many investors view this as a very positive move and do not believe that Dow overpaid. The company has entered into a higher-margin business, which should boost growth and earnings multiples. Meanwhile, the move also helps the company realize cost benefits through economies of scale.

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Lubrizol Corporation (LZ)

7/10/2008 4:42:23 PM UTC  #    Comments [1]  |  Trackback