Wednesday, July 30, 2008
Garmin Ltd (NDAQ: GRMN) shares dropped more than 20 percent today after the company announced second quarter earnings that missed analyst expectations. The high-flying GPS maker also disappointed investors when it forecasted limited growth for the rest ofthe year and said it was delaying its entrance into the cellular phone market. Many investors are now questioning whether or not this GPS giant can be valued as a growth company in today's environment.

Garmin reported total revenues of $912 million, which is up 23% from $742 million in the second quarter of 2007. Gross margins remained solid at 45.8%, despite the economic slowdown, compared to 48.2% in the first quarter of 2008 and 50.5% in the second quarter of 2008. Operating margins were up 20 basis points sequentially to 26.2% in the first quarter, but were down compared to 32.5% in the second quarter of 2007. And finally, diluted earnings per share increased 21% in the second quarter.

"We are pleased with our financial results for the second quarter given the economic conditions facing the consumer electronics segment," said Kevin Rauckman, chief financial officer of Garmin Ltd. " We also generated $34 million of free cash flow in the second quarter of 2008, resulting in a cash and marketable securities balance of just over $1.0 billion at the end of the quarter." This number is a positive note, but not enough to convince investors...

The forecasts are where investors lost confidence. Garmin anticipates overall revenues in 2008 to hit $3.9 billion and earnings to hit $4.13 per share, including the $0.27 related to the tender of their Tele Atlas NV shares. The company also reiterated growth rates for all of its division, except for the marine segment, where it said that high fuel prices have led it to forecast flat revenues for 2008. Meanwhile, the firm also forecasted a drop in operating margins to 25% as input costs rise and selling prices lower.

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7/30/2008 6:57:34 PM UTC  #    Comments [0]  |  Trackback
 Tuesday, July 29, 2008
Merrill Lynch & Co., Inc. (NYSE: MER) shares fell sharply today after the troubled investment bank priced its share offering at $22.50. This pricing point suggests that they weren't able to sell shares at the current market price and raises questions about both dilution and the company's ability to maintain its share price. Shares fell sharply before recovering to $23.90 on the news today.

Merrill Lynch told investors yesterday that it would raise $8.5 billion by selling newly issued stock despite the fact that CEO John Thain repeatedly denied that the firm would need to raise more capital. In fact, back in January Thain was quoted as saying, "We're very confident that we have the capital base now that we need to go forward in 2008." Such comments had many investors convinced that such dilution wouldn't occur anymore.

In fact, on April 4th of 2008 he even commented: "In 2007, we lost 8.6 billion dollars after tax, but we raised 12.8 billion dollars in new capital. We raised significantly more capital than we lost. And we did that on purpose so that we could say to the marketplace that we raised more than enough capital. We replaced all the capital we lost. We have plenty of capital going forward, and we don't need to come back into the equity market. The goal is to maintain our current ratings. No more capital raising; I'm sure we have enough capital."

Merrill Lynch needs the capital after unloading more than $30.6 billion in repackaged debt at a fire sale price ealier this month in an attempt to reduce the risk on its balance sheet. Such news only underscores the fact that the financial sector remains exposed to losses that will require more loan loss reserves, more write-offs, and more capital to keep afloat. All of this is bad news for Merrill Lynch and others in the financial sector, except perhaps Goldman Sachs.

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7/29/2008 3:46:44 PM UTC  #    Comments [0]  |  Trackback
 Monday, July 28, 2008
Kraft Foods Inc. (NYSE: KFT) shares surged higher today after it reported strong second quarter earnings and forecasted a strong full year. The world's second largest food-maker announced higher profits thanks to commodities hedging, successful price hikes and the dollar's decline overseas. The news comes half way through the company's three year plan to restructure itself.

Second quarter income increased 3.5 percent to $732 million from $707 million a year earlier. Excluding items, profit beat analyst estimates by 8 cents per share. Meanwhile, revenues also rose some 21 percent to $11.2 billion from $9.2 billion a year earlier. Finally, Kraft now expects to earn at least $1.92 per share in 2008, which is 2 cents higher than its previous forecast and matches analyst estimates.

Kraft earnings benefited the most from a $150 million hedge in grain, which helped it lock in prices for the commodity. Price increases helped the company recoup costs in other areas, such as cocoa, sugar and transportation. Oil prices have climbed 61 percent in the past year, while wheat used in cookies and pizza has risen 27 percent. Some consumers have switched to less expensive brands after the increases, but Kraft still holds a commanding lead in its markets.

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7/28/2008 3:54:06 PM UTC  #    Comments [0]  |  Trackback
 Friday, July 25, 2008
Point Blank Solutions Inc. (OTCBB: PBSO) announced another delay in their annual meeting today, which has some shareholders furious and others grateful. The body armor manufacturer said they need to wait for the Army's IOTV contract award before completing their review of strategic alternatives, which includes a potential sale of the company to some 90 potential parties.

Point Blank has already been awarded with a bridge buy of 150,000 IOTV's for a total of $86.2 million while the Army finishes determining who will win the larger 736,000 IOTV contract. The latter could be worth around $200 million or more, which is more than Point Blank's current market capitalization. Obviously, the award would substantially impact PBSO's valuation to a potential buyer.

However, at least one activist investor is sick of constantly waiting around. Steel Partners, who has been involved with the company since its fraud charges, has been waiting for an annual meeting for over two years and is currently suing the company to hold it. Interestingly, the activist hedge fund is also holding a proxy contest to overtake the board.

"The postponement was a unilateral stunt pulled by a Board in fear of losing an election contest and was designed to block the democratic process, limit accountability and further entrench the Board and management team," said Steel Partners in a regulatory filing. "Ask yourself whether you believe this Board was truly serious about exploring alternatives to maximize stockholder value or whether the Board was more interested in disenfranchising stockholders?  We think the answer is obvious."

Supporters of Steel Partners believe that the hedge fund is simply trying to deliver shareholder value as quickly as possible. However, skeptics believe that they may be positioning themselves to acquire the company on the cheap before any major contract is awarded. After all, it is not uncommon for hedge funds to privatize a company during a turnaround when they are vulnerable and then re-IPO it later on and make bank.

Point Blank also faces problems with its former CEO David Brooks, who is facing criminal charges for fraud. Combined, Point Blank contends that it is facing adverse interests from both of these large shareholders and they say they are simply trying to protect the interest of the thousands of minority shareholders.

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7/25/2008 7:27:17 PM UTC  #    Comments [0]  |  Trackback
 Thursday, July 24, 2008
A recent plan by Bank of America (NYSE: BAC) to repurchase shares may have sent the stock higher, but at least one analyst is questioning the validity of the claim. The bank's recent plan to repurchase shares may show strength, but continued weakness means that it may not be completed anytime soon. KBW Analyst Jefferson Harralson noted that "a share repurchase authorization is very different than an actual purchase ... I'd be surprised if they follow through in the near term." This news comes just after the board approved a plan to repurchase up to 75 million shares of common stock for up to $3.75 billion during the next 18 months.

The move by Bank of America comes at a time when nearly all banks have faced mounting losses from rising defaults in their loan portfolios, especially loans tied to real estate. The announcement of a buyback jumped the share price quite substantially, but shares may come crashing back down after this announcement. After all, Bank of America already needs to set aside $5.83 billion in cash to cover current and future loan losses.

Shares of Bank of America dropped over 3 percent on the day.

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7/24/2008 6:13:55 PM UTC  #    Comments [0]  |  Trackback
 Wednesday, July 23, 2008
Northwest Airlines Corporation (NYSE: NWA) swung to a loss this quarter but things weren't nearly as bad as Wall Street had expected given the record fuel costs that hit the industry. The Minnesota-based company reported a loss of $377 million, or $1.43 per share, versus a profit of $2.15 million in the year-earlier second quarter. And let's not forget that all of this is just a year after it emerged from bankruptcy!

On a positive note, revenues for Northwest came in at $3.58 billion, up from $3.18 billion a year ago. The airline also disclosed that it has $3.3 billion in unrestricted liquidity and sees its merger with Delta Air Lines closing in the fourth quarter. The merger should help the company cut costs while lowering oil prices and fare raises should help improve margins over the next few quarters.

Northwest Airline Corporation is the direct parent company of Northwest Airlines, Inc. Northwest is engaged in the business of transporting passengers and cargo. Recently, the company has faced sharp declines in margins thanks to higher fuel costs and slower consumer spending. Shares of the company rose more than 5% during today's session.

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7/23/2008 6:04:57 PM UTC  #    Comments [0]  |  Trackback
 Tuesday, July 22, 2008
Just when many thought the banking sector was improving, Wachovia Corporation (NYSE: WB) reported a huge second quarter loss. The financial services company reported a loss of $8.66 billion with a shocking $6.1 billion in writedowns. This compares to a net income of $2.34 billion a year earlier. Shares recovered on the day, but the news remains bearish for the sector.

Even the Chairman shared the disappointment: "These bottom-line results are disappointing and unacceptable," said Chairman Lanty L. Smith. "While to some degree they reflect industry headwinds and weaker macroeconomic conditions, they also reflect performance for which we at Wachovia accept responsibility."

Wachovia also cut its dividend again by 87% in an attempt to conserve about $700 million in capital. Clearly, this was a decision that had to be made in order to help the company stay alive over the long-term. The bank is also fresh off issuing some $8.3 billion in cpaital through preferred stock and other securities.

Finally, Wachovia has hired Goldman Sachs to help it analyze and value the billions of dollars in loans sitting on its balance sheets. Once it has a true idea of the valuation, shareholders will be able to better evaluate the company. Until then, Wachovia remains somewhat of an enigma.

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7/22/2008 6:25:43 PM UTC  #    Comments [0]  |  Trackback
 Monday, July 21, 2008
Yahoo Inc. (NDAQ: YHOO) decided to play it safe and settle with activist investor Carl Icahn. The search giant agreed to provide the billionaire investor with three board seats, which will give it some say but no power. The settlement is the latest in the sage over Microsoft's attempt to take over the company. Interestingly, Icahn expressed his belief that a sale of the company merits "full consideration".

Icahn said in a statement he's pleased with the settlement. "While I continue to believe that the sale of the whole company or the sale of its Search business in the right transaction must be given full consideration, I share the view that Yahoo's valuable collection of assets positions it well to continue expanding its online leadership and enhancing returns to stockholders."

The news of the concession by Yahoo management comes just days after the same management sent a letter to shareholders calling Microsoft's actions "stupifying" and criticizing Carl Icahn for his lack of knowledge of the internet business. However, the move is still seen as a victory for Yahoo. Icahn now has limited voting power while Yahoo management remains in place. So, why did Icahn accept the deal? Many believe that he thought he would end up losing if he went through with the proxy contest.

Perhaps the largest catalyst behind this settlement was Legg Mason's statement that it would back the Yahoo board and urged the two sides to settle their dispute before conducting an actual proxy contest. Carl Icahn owns a 5 percent stake in Yahoo and has been pushing for the company to pursue an acquisition by Microsoft. Eight of Yahoo's directors will now stand for re-election to an expanded 11 member board, including CEO Jerry Yang.

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7/21/2008 5:27:03 PM UTC  #    Comments [0]  |  Trackback