# Tuesday, August 19, 2008
Target Corporation (NYSE: TGT) shares fell despite announcing higher-than-expected second-quarter earnings. Earnings for the quarter came in at $0.82 per share on $15.47 billion in revenues, while its retail segment rose 5.7 percent. The catalyst behind the decline is likely the continued talk of a weak and soft sales environment. Moreover, investors were less than comforted with a drop in gross margins and a fall in the profitability of its credit card operations.

Target's net income fell on lower clothing and home goods sales as the government rebate checks begin to wane. The retailer fell behind Wal-Mart Stores (NYSE: WMT) once again as consumers continue to see bargains. Customers that are struggling with higher food and fuel prices, rising joblessness and the worse housing market since the Great Depression are quickly switching their spending from high-class Target stores to discount Wal-Mart stores.

Target may be a good bet over the long-term as the U.S. economy recovers, but until then, Wal-Mart may continue to be the smart bet on retailing. Wal-Mart, Costco, Sam's Club, and various dollar stores have all posted higher than expected sales as consumers rush to spend rebates at their stores. Meanwhile, Target and other higher class retailers are experiencing problems. Shares of Target dropped $0.22, or 0.44%, to $49.82 during today's trading session.

Related Companies
Wal-Mart Stores, Inc. (WMT)
PriceSmart Inc. (PSMT)
Costco Wholesale Corporation (COST)
Dollar Tree Inc. (DLTR)
Fred's Inc. (FRED)
Sears Holdings Corporation (SHLD)
99 Cents Only Stores (NDN)

Tuesday, August 19, 2008 5:39:00 PM UTC  #     |  Trackback
# Monday, August 18, 2008
Take-Two Interactive Software, Inc. (NDAQ: TTWO) shares dropped sharply after Electronic Arts Inc. (NDAQ: ERTS) dropped its $2 billion hostile bid and instead opted to pursue private talks with the company. Shares fell during today's trading on concerns that EA would walk away entirely or come back with a lower bid. However, on the upside, analysts now believe that a deal will be more probable with friendly talks in the works.

Many analysts believe that EA is going to take a second look at the buyout since Take-Two's blockbuster "Grand Theft Auto" game will come out before any takeover could take place. After all, the original purchase price was predicated on the distribution of that game during Christmas of this year. As a result, the new offering price, if it is negotiated, may be lower than many investors expect. Others insist that the game will add value to the Take-Two takeover.

Many experts believe that GTA IV has already been priced into Take-Two's stock price. The video game has already sold some 11 million units and pulled in revenues of $500 million in its first week. As a result, the company has increased its estimates for fiscal 2008 revenues from a range of $1.4 billion to $1.5 billion from $1.25 billion to $1.4 billion. Take-Two has refused to sell the company before its release, although some analysts now believe a takeover should be closer to $28 per share.

Related Companies
Activision Blizzard, INc. (ATVI)
Atari, Inc. (ATAR)
THQ Inc. (THQI)
Midway Games Inc. (MWY)
Majesco Entertainment Co. (COOL)
Navarre Corporation (NAVR)
Sony Corporation (SNE)

Monday, August 18, 2008 6:22:26 PM UTC  #     |  Trackback
# Friday, August 15, 2008
Timminco Limited (TSE: TIM) shares fell sharply earlier this week after the company reported lower-than-expected sales and made some questionable statements to investors. Short-seller Asensio has been making a bear case on the stock for some time, and it now appears like many of their predictions are coming true. Shares fell sharply after the news hit the market.

Timminco's 221 million tons of solar silicon shipped fell short of expectations due to contamination issues previously brought up by Asensio's research and denied by CEO Heinz Schimmelbusch in a May 30th article that appeared in the Globe and Mail. Earlier this week, the company elected to hold back 70 tonnes of silicon due to higher-than-expected phosphorous levels.

Asensio's issues with Timminco deals with its accounting for returns in sales recognition. A report on July 22nd issued by the short-seller questioned statements made by company officials that Timminco's customers were declining to return even highly contaminated parts of ingots for "extra credit offered by Timminco".

The big question going forward is whether or not the average selling price would decline due to returned material. CFO Rober Dietrich reiterated that there were no returns in the quarter, but did not shed any light on statements made by other executives mentioned above. As a result, Asensio believes there exists a possiblity of fraud within the high-flying company.

Related Companies
Graphit Kropfmuehl AG  (GKR)
RTI International Metals, Inc. (RTI)
Interural OAO (INUR)
Friday, August 15, 2008 6:17:00 PM UTC  #     |  Trackback