# Tuesday, September 30, 2008
Presidential candidates are gearing up for a good fight and environmental policy is near the top of the list of concerns. Many countries around the world are waiting to see whether or not the United States will sign the Kyoto Protocol this year that would require companies to reduce their carbon emissions between 2008 and 2012. This would put a relatively new, but growing carbon market into the forefront of the global financial system.

The carbon market represents an administrative approach used to control pollution by providing economic incentives for achieving reductions in the emissions of pollutants. Countries bound by the Kyoto Protocol can use carbon trading as a way to meet their obligations to reduce carbon trading and therefore mitigate global warming. To date, carbon trading is seen as one of the most viable approaches to control global warming through economics.

EcoloCap Solutions (OTC-BB: ECOS) is developing an integrated development approach that focuses on both existing and needed infrastructure facilities to produce substantial new value in the form of tradable CERs while also maximizing alternative energy generation co-products. Partnerships with owners of facilities that generate harmful greenhouse gases as well as environmental project owners in developing countries will allow the company to capitalize on opportunities emerging in carbon trading.

To the owners of these projects, EcoloCap offers its expertise in the United Nations certification process, engineering, project management and capital in exchange for rights to the carbon credits that are generated over the life of the project. The company makes money by purchasing these credits for far less than they are worth when sold on the open market. Often times, this differential can be significant, especially when accrued over the life of the project.

As a result, one company to watch during the upcoming presidential elections may be EcoloCap Solutions. Any actions by the United States to join the Kyoto Protocol would result in a substantial boost to the carbon market in general and would in turn benefit companies like EcoloCap that sell carbon credits in the open market. After all, demand would increase while supply would remain the same, thus driving up the price of carbon credits and the value of EcoloCap's inventory. Investors interested in learning more can view a research report by clicking here.

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Tuesday, September 30, 2008 7:33:30 PM UTC  #     |  Trackback
Allied Capital (NYSE: ALD) is playing out by the book - that is, David Einhorn's book! Allied and David Einhorn have been involved in what some on Wall Street have regarded as an epic struggle between themselves, regulators, government officials, and several government organizations. In fact, Einhorn even wrote a complete book on the struggle called "Fooling Some of the People All of the Time". His premise is that Allied's loan portfolio (or that of its subsidiaries) has been impropertly valued - a thesis that may now prove to be true.

Allied Capital announced that Ciena Capital, one of its portfolio companies, voluntarily filed for bankruptcy protection today. The company said Ciena has continued to experience "significant deterioration" in the value of its assets due to the uncertainty of the financial markets and a reduction in the number of loan buyers. As a result, Allied said its unconditional guaranty of the obligations outstanding under Ciena's revolving credit facility may become due.

This is bad news for Allied Capital as it may be required to pay $320 million to the lenders in connection with the revolving credit facility. This is $150 million of the cash Allied gained on the sale of its good investments while it may have to borrow another $170 million of its unsecured revolving line of credit. Some believe that this could put the company's all-important dividend at risk - the dividend that so many investors have stayed in the stock to receive.

Allied Capital Corporation (ACC) is a closed-end, non-diversified management investment company that operates as a business development company. The Company’s investment objective is to achieve current income and capital gains. The Company is engaged in private equity business. ACC primarily invests in debt and equity securities of private companies in a variety of industries. From time to time, it may invest in companies that are public but lack access to additional public capital.

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Tuesday, September 30, 2008 6:34:14 PM UTC  #     |  Trackback
# Monday, September 29, 2008
Circuit City Stores (NYSE: CC) shares dropped sharply after it reported disappointing earnings, but there is at least one remaining hope for shareholders. The electronics retailer said it would undergo an extensive review of its strategic options. Unfortunately, investors looking for a sale transaction may be waiting awhile- the company noted that it was initially focused on internal improvements to operate as a standalone business. Regardless, a successful turnaround is definitely a prospect worth watching!

Circuit City shares have been in a free fall ever since 2007 when the company first started experiencing a slowdown in sales. This latest quarter has been a nail in the coffin as it posted wider losses and withdrew its financial outlook as it reviews its business ahead of the holiday season. This follows the departure of its Chairman and CEO just last week. Meanwhile, experts are predicting an extremely bleak holiday season this year.

So, where's the opportunity here? Well, Circuit City still owns a substantial number of retail stores and any new blood in management could help a turnaround. Circuit City may have posted losses for five of the six quarters, but any successful execution this holiday season versus competitor Best Buy could help position it for the future. The company plans to launch a new marketing campaign, upgrade its store signage, and boost its in-stock position on key categories.

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Monday, September 29, 2008 3:28:32 PM UTC  #     |  Trackback